Thread by @selectedwisdom

Significant assassination inside Russia, seems Dugin was meant to be target, but this article leaves out significant data, more than 1 scenario for who killed Dugin “Daughter of prominent Putin supporter killed in Moscow car bomb attack | Financial Times” ft.com/content/a1ce13…

Story insinuates scenario 1 - Ukraine connects pulled off sophisticated bombing deep inside Russia to eliminate a purveyor of Kremlin disinformation motivating Russians to support invasion of Ukraine. Maybe true, but fails logic test on several fronts. For example…

This assumes Ukraine has ability to set up detonate complex device in Moscow area and wants to send a message by striking deep in heart of Russia. If they had such ability and wanted to send a message, why Dugin as target?

Killing an ideologue like Dugin leads to him being easily replaced by another ideologue saying same Kremlin talking points

While Dugin is an important messenger for linking global far right movement from Europe to North America, he’s not that important inside Russia except for juicing select young men to go to Ukraine. There would seem to be many more important targets for Ukraine inside RU

Ukraine has been very good about selecting targets of military significance inside RU, Crimea, unless it’s just about hitting an accessible target (undefended by body guards etc), why would they not hit a target inside RU that matters militarily or that matters more to Russians?

Also, attacking an ideologue has the inverse affect if UKR wants demoralize RU and hurt motivation for cause, instead it would likely galvanize support for war amongst most zealous.

Lastly, all the Kremlin propagandists quickly pointed (Malofeev in this article) at Ukraine, which is also what Putin would want the world and Russians in particular to believe, which leads to scenario 2…..

Scenario 2 - Putin tried to kill off Dugin. 1- Putin facing the inevitability of waging a blundered military campaign 6 months. Troop, ammo, equipment shortages & domestic disinfo can’t hide facts now. Deserters, high death toll, wounded & veterans rotating back tell truth

Despite the polls, sub-surface evidence of concern amongst trolls & propagandists and 1 in particular was likely Dugin

Last year, Dugan started chirping in ways that could be seen as anti-Putin. Exhibit A here below, would seem Dugin taking a dangerous populist streak against Kremlin

And who has history of killing off dissenters in Moscow with targeted assassinations (bombs, bullets, balconies)? Seems more likely the Kremlin who has long history of these things, you know, “Follow the trail of dead Russians”

Issue is for journalists that write about the assassination Dugin offering scenario 1 without scenario 2, until facts are known (if they can be), one might be helping Putin write narratives to his favor. As Surkov would likely say “managed democracy”

Todays updates on the situation. nytimes.com/2022/08/21/wor…

Adding to the thread, guess who solved this assassination in just a few hours. The FSB -

I’m strongly leaning toward scenario #2 for Dugina where Kremlin was in on the killing. Speed of FSB investigation, quick evidence, seeding of narratives, synchronization of messengers all suggest pre-planning nytimes.com/2022/08/22/wor…

Dugina assassination occurs curiously at same point where Russia needs to rally domestic audience against Ukraine, and kills the daughter of prominent anti-Ukraine propagandist Dugin, but not the more valuable messenger himself - Dugin.

Exhibit B