Thread by @TomTomjarvis

🧵@leone_hadavi and I have spotted what may be the first satellite image of a Myanmar Su-30 on the tarmac in Naypyidaw. These Russian-built planes have been elusive and kept quite secret but recent reports indicate regular training flights have commenced. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

A better view of it shows on timelapse (2 frames). The imagery surrounding this capture shows it is not there for long, suggesting the object is active. Dimensions roughly match Su-30 rather than Mig-29 (currently high margin of error due to low-res imagery)

Around the time of the alleged arrival of the Su-30, two new buildings were being constructed at Naypyidaw Airbase. It is notable that the known aircraft normally residing here (helicopters) do not have the blue livery seen in recent imagery.

Recent imagery showing the hangars and new building. Each of the three hangars appears large enough to hold two Su-30s, accommodating six in total. This conforms with our understanding that six have been ordered.

The light blue livery is typical of the camouflage used by combat planes used by the Myanmar Air Force including the Yak-130, K8, JF-17, and Mig-29s.

ENTIRELY UNVERIFIED: This image was posted across Telegram last week claiming to show an Su-30. It is impossible to verify date and location. But it does coincide with an increase in alleged sightings.