π¦πΉ Representative genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in Austria week 7, 2023 across all regions. Current analysis includes samples until February 8th allowing faithful nowcasting, sample numbers dropping though. A collaboration of #AGES @agesnews and @IMBA_Vienna/@oeaw.
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Current significant growth in incidence is almost exclusively due to XBB.1.5, that reached >50% of cases now.
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Only very few other lineages continue to show growth in absolute numbers as visualized when extrapolating shares of lineages to absolute reported numbers.
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FYI: Based on sewage analysis in Austria (blue), the current incidences surpass the BA.1-, BA.2-, and both BA.5-peaks while the reported case rate (orange) underlying the above analysis is significantly lower.
(open image for full timeline)
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abwassermonitoring.at/dashboard/
Full genome data from GISAID also illustrate growth of XBB.1.9.1, but this lineage will in all likelihood not become dominant any more before the XBB wave has peaked.
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The observed increase of XBB.1.5 is fairly synchronous across Austria. Shares of other lineages that will probably decline now was somewhat uneven.
ππΌππΌTime to thank my team again for this amazing work every week! ππΌββοΈ
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