In 2021, the French government released a report that claimed over 300,000 kids had been abused by the Catholic Church. Media gobbled it up. But in the post-covid world of doubting the experts, I figured, why not doubt these experts too, and evaluate their claims?
...🧵
The report, which can be found here, was published in English. This is kinda suspicious and obviously for export to America.
ciase.fr/medias/Ciase-S…
The report claims that in their initial phase, they had a public campaign for people to contact them, resulting in:
6,471 contacts
3,652 telephone calls
2,459 emails
360 letters
Not exactly the 300,000 claimed.🤥
Overall in their research, they conducted:
11 interviews with guilty priests
27 interviews with random priests and seminarians across France
73 interviews with "Specialists"
174 victims actually interviews.
You can tell from this that much of the report's claim are projection.
So where do they get the 300,000 figure from? From really shoddy work: They show that they sexual abuse case for France overall was 14% for women, and 6% for men. *hand waving motion* therefore 300,000 people. But hey, Anon, that's still the minority of abuse cases 😑
*hand wave, hand wave* " Don't blame us for pulling numbers out of thin air, it's science!"
Best I can figure out is that they took France's Catholic population of 27.8M people, and applied the estimated trends from the general population. Yep. That's all. They sent out 1,628 questionnaires and got 69 replies that qualify as abuse. They estimated from those 69.
But perhaps the most bemusing thought: Even if these figures are accurate, That's about 4k cases of abuse a year on average. France has 65k rapes a year. Meaning the Catholic Church would only be 6% of the crime. Of course, I don't even think it is 6%. This report is a joke.
But, no doubt, the media will continue running with the fictional 300,000 abused kids they never seem to interview (Because they don't exist).
Never believe the news, Anon. They are liars. Always were, always will be.
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