Thread by @tylerblack32

Big Book of Mortality
America, 2020-2022

We now have reliable mortality data for 3 years of the pandemic, 2020-2022. COVID as the underlying cause of death was the #3 killer of Americans.

On this graph, every cause of death causing >0.1/100k per year is graphed.

/1

This is a cleaner version of the chart, where only the top 17 causes are graphed.

We can see that there are two causes that erupt after 50 (Parkinson's and Alzhiemer's).

External causes (Accidents, Suicides, Homicides) erupt early and stick around.

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People under 30 die much less frequently, but COVID-19 cracked the top ten coming in at #9. COVID WAS A TOP TEN CAUSE OF DEATH UNDER 30.

External causes of mortality loom large in this group.

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This is why the "but kids rarely die from COVID" argument by covid denialists and the Urgency of Normal Ghouls is particularly awful - because young people rarely die of ANY diseases but of course we care very much about pediatric cancers and diabetes and other things.

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Looking at women, COVID is a top ten cause of death <12, gets to about 7th by 30, and ends up being the third leading cause of death amongst all American women.

External causes of mortality peak in female youth but overall are much less common than with men.

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Looking at men, external causes rank higher generally. At no age is COVID less than a top ten cause of death and it again ends up at #3 overall.

/6

Data notes:

The rates (Y axis) per 100,000/year. They are plotted logarithmically as the elderly deaths would make it impossible to see younger deaths.

EG: this is the graph for men on a linear scale. Helpful for sorting out causes of death 75+, useless for most ages.

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In short & in conclusion, COVID IS A VERY IMPORTANT CAUSE OF DEATH AT EVERY AGE.

If you were a child, Top 10
if you were a young adult, Top 7
If you are middle aged, Top 3

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Covid minimizers, denialists, ghouls, and antivaxxers have abused the concept of infection fatality rate or age stratification to the point of uselessness: COVID-19 IS A ONCE IN A LIFETIME PANDEMIC THAT KILLED 1 MILLION AMERICANS, important at EVERY age.

/fin

also note to minimizers: - flu very much still a top 15 cause of death.

A shareable little graph, COVID was AT LEAST a top 12 cause of death at every age 1-85

and finally, in the truest transparency, here is the entire dataset that created the graph:



feel free to check my work!docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

@RMHayes5 @PeterHotez Error non-transport accidents

@dccarbene @PeterHotez btw here's 'firearm deaths'. totally doable!

cdc wonder is an amazing database

@samjlord It was also largely on par with heart diseases, so it feels a lot to me like you cherrypicked your argument there.

hey, ghouls! no, COVID-19 deaths were not overcounted. in fact, almost all of the evidence we have tells us that COVID-19 deaths are undercounted

see:



and

https://t.co/wXcD7w8dPXbu.edu/sph/news/artic…
who.int/news/item/05-0…