Thread by @ClaudeSteve6

Is Peter Doshi from the @bmj_company incompetent?

🧵 1/n
The @UofMaryland published the full speech of Peter Doshi on november 2, 2021 in the Capitol in the USA. I don't know if I have to laugh or cry in front of such ridiculous arguments.

2/n
1/ No one claimed hospitalizations and deaths were almost exclusively occuring in the unvaccinated. But the vaccines reduce these risks.
2/ Protection wanes with time as for almost any vaccine, and the virus evolves, so boosters a required.

3/n
"In the UK, most hospitalizations and deaths are among the fully vaccinated, as Boris Johnson said"

This is misdeading and occulting 2 statistic effects.

4/n

1. The base rate fallacy:
The more people vaccinated in the UK, the more hospitalizations and deaths occuring among the vaccinated.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate…

5/n

2. The Simpson's Paradox:
the base risk isn't the same among the 2 populations of vaccinated and unvaccinated people. People with underlying conditions and old people are overrepresented in the vaccinated group.
ntu.ac.uk/about-us/news/…

6/n
To avoid this you have to separate age groups and calculate the hospitalizations or death rates in each group.

Graphs from the @nytimes ⤵️
nytimes.com/2021/10/12/bri…

@nytimes 7/n
Then those who claimed the trials show the vaccines were highly effective in saving lives were wrong:

Do you know any vaccine highly effective on infections and severe diseases being ineffective in saving lives? If you don't fall severely ill your risk to die is much lower.

@nytimes 8/n
Finally, @MerriamWebster who changed the vaccine definition. Lol.
Merriam-Webster isn't a scientific dictionary. Their definition lacked genetic vaccines, they just corrected it.

@nytimes @MerriamWebster 9/n
In 2007, the @WHO published guidelines for DNA vaccines.
who.int/publications/m…

@nytimes @MerriamWebster @WHO 10/n
Yeah, it's also vaccines with immune response against infectious diseases.

@nytimes @MerriamWebster @WHO 11/n
But some will argue it's not RNA vaccines...
RNA vaccines are similar to DNA vaccines for the WHO.

@nytimes @MerriamWebster @WHO 12/n
So Professor @StabellBenn, when I tell people that I won't be confident in Peter McCullough or Peter Doshi, I know what I'm talking about...

@nytimes @MerriamWebster @WHO @StabellBenn 13/n
... even if I have zero publication nor working in research. Cheers 🍻

@nytimes @MerriamWebster @WHO @StabellBenn 14/14
So people, what do think about Peter Doshi from @UofMaryland and @bmj_company / @bmj_latest in the subject of epidemiology and covid vaccines ?

@nytimes @MerriamWebster @WHO @StabellBenn @UofMaryland @bmj_company @bmj_latest @threadreaderapp unroll