Kamil Galeev Profile picture

Jan 28, 2024, 12 tweets

IF Russia has been under the unprecedentedly wide sanctions for almost two years

BUT It has increased its output of missiles

THEN The sanctions have been targeted wrong all along

Now that is because the policy makers have limited understanding of how the war economy works

The astonishing inefficiency in undermining the Russian military production makes more sense, considering that the sanctions have not been based on any serious understanding of the Russian military manufacturing base, of its rationales and tradeoffs, bottlenecks and chokepoints

To target the military production, you first need to identify its bottlenecks. And to identify the bottlenecks you must understand how the production chain works, both in theory and in practice. Now the latter requires a serious OSINT investigation

And that is what we did

We have investigated:

· 4 missiles producing corporations
· 28 key production facilities
· A broad range of sources varying from the official TV propaganda to the PhD dissertations by the military industrial executives

What we found:

CNC Machines: EMCO 🇦🇹, Haas 🇺🇸, Kovosvit Mas 🇨🇿, DMG MORI 🇩🇪, Hermle 🇩🇪, GF🇨🇭, Tos Varnsdorf 🇨🇿, Skoda 🇨🇿, Hyundai 🇰🇷, Walter 🇩🇪, Schaublin🇨🇭, Index 🇩🇪, Parpas 🇮🇹, Hardinge 🇺🇸, Fanuc 🇯🇵, TDZ Turn 🇨🇿, Leadwell 🇹🇼, VDF Boehringer 🇩🇪, Doosan 🇰🇷, Heller 🇩🇪, Mazak 🇯🇵, Okuma 🇯🇵, Kitamura 🇯🇵, Hanwha 🇰🇷, Trumpf 🇩🇪, Biglia 🇮🇹, NSH 🇺🇸, Spinner 🇩🇪, Prima 🇮🇹, Anca 🇦🇺, Techni Waterjet 🇦🇺, LVD 🇧🇪, Mazak 🇯🇵, Stan 🇷🇺, DMTG 🇨🇳 + minor producers, mostly Western European & Taiwanese

CNC Controllers: Fanuc 🇯🇵, Siemens 🇩🇪, Heidenhain 🇩🇪
PLC Controllers: Siemens 🇩🇪
Measurement: Renishaw 🇬🇧, Hexagon 🇬🇧, Zeiss 🇩🇪, Bosch 🇩🇪
Tooling: Sandvik 🇸🇪, Seco 🇸🇪, Guhring 🇩🇪, Erowa🇨🇭, Walter 🇩🇪, Zoller 🇩🇪, Kyocera 🇯🇵, Tungaloy 🇯🇵, Korloy 🇰🇷 Iscar 🇮🇱, Eroglu 🇹🇷

Integrated solutions: Siemens 🇩🇪, Dassault 🇫🇷, PTC 🇺🇸, Ansys 🇺🇸

NB: Siemens is the only company in the world capable of providing the all-in-one CAD to CNC solution of the military tier, minimising the human factor at any stage of the production process

If I were to name one critical bottleneck in the Russian military manufacturing, I would choose Siemens Teamcenter. The most sophisticated enterprises in Russia including aircraft/aircraft engine/missile producers developed the overreliance on the foolproof Siemens solutions

Resurrected from the ashes of the 1990s, they had neither the Soviet craftsmanship, nor tacit knowledge, nor vocational training system. To compensate for the uneven (low) quality of their workforce and reduce variance in product they had no choice but to overrely on Siemens

The pdf version of our report is already available upon request. It will be soon available for the general audience.

If you want to support our work, you can donate to:

PayPal: galeev.info@gmail.com
Patreon: kamilkazani922

Wire:

Beneficiary Rhodus Inc.
Account Number 9801141480
Type of Account Checking
Beneficiary Address 447 Broadway, 2nd Floor, 197 New York, NY 10013
ABA Routing Number 084106768
Bank Name Evolve Bank & Trust
Bank Address 6000 Poplar Ave, Suite 300 Memphis, TN 38119

ETH 0xA9FA4454cC3EC0Ff521926BB5F8D4389bA0e665a

BTC bc1qhggd33vl3hz2a8gj95g3dtqjsmwmtdx0ql6cm9

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