BLOG: Sky News' military analyst, Sean Bell to young kids:
“we are NOT on the verge of World War 3” and
“we are NOT about to have a nuclear confrontation”
READ HERE: robertinventor.substack.com/p/sky-news-mil…
Video here
Transcript of Sean Bell's answers to two of the kids' questions, see graphic: youtube.com/embed/eDkfX17K…
All five permanent security council members signed a statement saying that a nuclear war can never be won and must never be fought. Not as an agreement. As something they all recognize as true.
That's Russia, China, UK, US and France.
That isn't a concession. It's not a promise or a treaty. It is just self-evident. This goes back to US president Ronald Reagen, first to state it really clearly.
We didn’t panic in the Cold War. We knew there was a risk and knew what to do.
Simple instructions like these would save millions of lives in a world war.
Our governments can't believe we are at any significant/realistic risk of a world war or we'd all know these precautions.
The sad thing is the clickbait is doing Putin's work. It led to strong pressure on Biden and Starmer to reverse their decision.
Only Putin benefits.
Sean Bell:
"if you don't do that [lift restrictions], Ukraine is trying to fight Russia with one arm tied behind its back"
We can stop ALL FEARS of world war WITHOUT stopping the Ukraine war.
Deliberately silly and impossible example of Iceland invading Wales / Cornwall / Southern England.
This helps show why Ukraine's allies say Ukraine is the only country that can decide when to stop fighting.
Zelensky and Ukrainians know that if they had the military technology
🔹 any country in NATO would get access to on day 1
🔹even tiny Estonia
the war would be over in days, and Putin would have to retreat
To show how much more powerful NATO is than Russia, the USA has the capability (WON'T DO THIS):
🔹 to sink Russia's entire Black Sea fleet from small conventional missiles fired from a sub in the Mediterranean.
🔹US could use the same Tomahawk cruise missiles as for Houthis.
Imagine how hard it would be to defend against supersonic potatoes? That is what the Russians would see in their radars if they were fighting a NATO country with F-35s. None of Russia's planes are anything like as stealthy.
Since 2022, Ukraine has asked for the high altitude stealth Gray Eagle drone which can fly behind the front line and then deliver its “Hellfire” missiles from far too high for Russia to detect them.
The US won’t send them.
Any NATO country has access to those on day 1.
Every week Ukraine flies many slow propellor driven drones and sometimes even hobbyist ultralights for hours through Russian air space, traveling over 1000 km before setting fire to a fuel depot or oil refinery or blowing up a stockpile of bombs.
Russia can't keep them out.
I don’t think many in the West realize quite how politically devastating it would be to Putin to lose his Black Sea fleet.
This is why Ukraine sees the Tomahawk cruise missiles as a big lever it could use in negotiations with Putin.
Second from left at bottom Ukrainian built Palyanitsa a jet powered cruise missile like the Stormshadow with a range of 700 km
To the right of it the OTRK Sapson also known as HRIM-2 which is a ballistic missile like the ATACMs with a range of 700 km.
Russia can’t bring any more ships in to the Black Sea because Turkey closed off the Strait of Bosporous to any military traffic in or out during the war.
Given how vulnerable Russia is to long range missiles, the situation on the battlefield is far more dynamic than it seems.
There may be other surprise in the top secret plans which Ukraine will NOT SHARE WITH ANYONE except those of the highest clearance.
So we can’t know those plans. If we knew, Russia would know.
After seeing Zelensky’s victory plan, Biden tweeted “Ukraine will win this war”
Biden has always said that Ukraine will win.
Nobody in the West knew that:
- the Russian mine fields in 2023 were far too wide for the US mine field breaching equipment
- Congress would hold up funding up in the fall of 2023, possibly just before a Ukrainian counteroffensive
Zelensky is confident Trump will help:
BLOG: Zelensky: war in Ukraine can end faster with Trump
- can only negotiate from a position of strength
- expects Trump to strengthen Ukraine
- but by 1799 Logan act can’t discuss until he's president
READ HERE: robertinventor.substack.com/p/zelensky-war…
The main thing is there is
* NO RISK OF A WORLD WAR
* NO RISK OF A NUCLEAR WAR
* SAFE FOR ITS ALLIES TO HELP UKRAINE.
It's great to see someone on TV saying what we've been saying to scared people all along.
We are SAFE
We do NOT need to STOP governments supporting Ukraine.
Find out more:
BLOG: Sky News' military analyst, Sean Bell to young kids:
“we are NOT on the verge of World War 3” and
“we are NOT about to have a nuclear confrontation”
READ HERE: robertinventor.substack.com/p/sky-news-mil…
@threadreaderapp unroll
Sky News' military analyst, Sean Bell to young kids:
“we are NOT on the verge of World War 3” and
“we are NOT about to have a nuclear confrontation”
- shortened version
robertinventor.substack.com/p/sky-news-mil…
That is this thread as a separate article.
Return to start of thread:
I realize I need to say a bit more here as most readers won't know the background to what Sean Bell said about the mauling Russia's attacking forces have had from Ukraine.
Whatever happens we are SAFE in NATO.
Ukraine winning will also lead to a safer world for weaker countries.
Many people who worry about this new ATACMS permission don’t realize how much Russia is being mauled by Ukraine as Sean Bell put it in his answer to Rosie Bell:
It’s lost 3,598 tanks as of writing on Oryx, open source page documenting every loss.
Since early 2024 it’s set fire to oil refineries, oil depots and now munitions dumps
- has to impact on Russia’s ability to attack Ukraine.
Map shows attacked oil refineries up to April 2024
After that it started blowing up fuel depots. You can't put out an oil or gasoline fire with water. On the first day they tried to put it out with water but it just made it worse
Video here
The biggest fuel depot fire burnt for 16 days.
YouTube
Then after that it started blowing up Russia's stockpiles of bombs.
This is the Toropets explosion: youtube.com/embed/ukhqqRdh…
At 44 seconds in you hear the local Russian officials telling us that everything is under control while you hear the explosions in the background
Zelensky doesn't need soldiers he needs equipment. Ukraine with a million soldiers is still at only 2.5% of its population compared to nearly 25% for the UK in WW2
Admiral Radakin is in command of the UK armed forces and regularly visits Ukraine. He also said Russia will NOT attack NATO He can't attack us because we are too strong, out of his league. By preparing in a strong way, we STOP Putin from attacking NATO.
By lose quickly, Admiral Radakin means if Russia ever attacked it would be pushed right out of NATO territory, and any missile systems firing at NATO destroyed - NATO wouldn't try to defeat Russia as it is purely defensive see: robertinventor.substack.com/p/how-to-see-t…
So I hope this helps put your fears to rest.
Once again there is
🔹 NO RISK OF A WORLD WAR
🔹 NO RISK OF A NUCLEAR WAR
🔹 IT IS SAFE FOR ITS ALLIES TO HELP UKRAINE.
So once again, this thread as a separate article:
BLOG: Sky News' military analyst, Sean Bell to young kids:
“we are NOT on the verge of World War 3” and
“we are NOT about to have a nuclear confrontation”
- shortened version
READ HERE: robertinventor.substack.com/p/sky-news-mil…
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