1) I spoke with @davidshor about his autopsy of the 2024 campaign. Based on voter file data, 26 million voter interviews, and precinct returns, he reaches a few conclusions.
One is that if all registered voters had turned out, Trump would have won a landslide:
@davidshor 2) TikTok appears to make its users more Republican.
@davidshor 3) Trump probably narrowly won younger voters. The gender gap among 18 year olds is also the highest ever observed. Trump won *nonwhite* 18-year-old men.
@davidshor 4) We also discussed a tension in Shor's polling: Voters say that Democrats should be more moderate, but also, want them to deliver "major change"
Shor argues that economic populism can appeal to such voters, and that Harris's promise to "take on landlords" was her best message
@davidshor Many more interesting takes in the full piece: vox.com/politics/40336…
@davidshor 5) One point Shor emphasized: Nihilism about electoral politics is not justified. "lol nothing matters" may feel true. But voters do sometimes respond to changes in reality and positioning
vox.com/politics/40336…
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