Redrawing Ukraine: Is It Putin’s Victory March or Success of Trump’s Peace Plan?🇺🇦🇷🇺
🇺🇸Trump's peace deal risks rewarding aggression, redrawing borders & destabilizing Europe. Is this a dangerous trend❓🧵 #alaskasummit #UkraineWar
Russia controls 20% of Ukraine. 🇷🇺🇺🇦
Ukraine, backed by $200B in NATO aid, resists but faces fatigue.
Trump’s plan to legitimize Russian gains weakens Kyiv & deterrence. ⚔️
Historically, appeasement (e.g. Munich 1938) fuels escalation.#UkraineRussiaWar️️
Concessions could cost 🇺🇦Ukraine 30-40% of its industry, cripple its economy, & spark insurgencies.
🇷🇺Russia’s reconstruction costs may hit $500B, while Europe faces energy woes.
Long-term? A weakened Ukraine risks Balkanization & Russian moves on Baltics or Moldova.#Ukraine #RussiaUkraineWar
Net assessment scenarios for 2030-35:
Fragile peace (35%): Russia re-arms, tests Moldova.🇷🇺
Escalation (45%): War resumes, NATO splits.
Fragmentation (20%): Ukraine splinters, global order frays. 🇺🇦
Concessions embolden autocrats like 🇨🇳China.
Altering Ukraine’s borders trades short-term calm for long-term chaos, eroding the UN Charter & alliances.🇺🇦
🌍Eastern Europe faces instability; global rules weaken.
We need strength, not surrender, to secure peace.
What’s the cost of redrawing maps❓ #Ukraine #Geopolitics
Read the Full Analysis by Ex-IAF Official @mjavinod eurasiantimes.com/redrawing-ukra…
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