Trump's illegal attack on Iran has set off regional war. The latest - Israel's ground invasion of Lebanon. 800 are already dead.
1/ Tonight, I want to walk you thru a🧵on how devastating this new war could be, and how Trump's blunder set it in motion.
theguardian.com/world/2026/mar…
2/ Iran's terrorist proxy, Hezbollah, operates out of Lebanon. Fierce fighting between Israel and Hezbollah broke out after the October 2023 Hamas attacks on Israel. It lasted for a year until a ceasefire in November 2024. Trump inherited this ceasefire. washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
3/ But Trump inherited something else good: a new Lebanese government - the most competent in decades - that was open to confronting Hezbollah. And this was the only real, long term solution - the Lebanese government taking full control of the country. nytimes.com/2026/03/06/wor…
4/ But Trump threw it away with his attack on Iran. It was totally foreseeable that Iran would activate Hezbollah. Hezbollah started sending rockets into Israel. And the hardline Israeli government's reaction - total war with Lebanon - was foreseeable too.
5/ But just like in Gaza, Israel risks throwing caution to the wind in a massive new invasion of southern Lebanon.
We are going to do [to Lebanon] what we did in Gaza," a senior Israeli official said.
Tens of thousands could die.
axios.com/2026/03/14/isr…
6/ Israel needs to defend itself from Hezbollah rocket attacks. But a full ground invasion, modelled after Gaza, would likely be a strategic and humanitarian disaster. There are better options.
This could be Trump's legacy: a second Gaza.
reuters.com/world/middle-e…
7/ The Strait of Hormuz is closed. Gas prices are spiking. Missiles rain down on Iran's neighbors. Iraq and Syria are teetering. And now war between Israel and Lebanon that will kill thousands and displace hundreds of thousands.
All the result of Trump's incompetence.
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