NEW: How do party election manifestos measure up on delivering a just transition?
Today we’re publishing @futureeconscot’s deep dive into each party’s policy platform. 🧵
👉 futureeconomy.scot/publications/2…
We assess manifestos across four key themes:
🌍 Climate and nature
🏦 Funding the transition
⚖️ Poverty and inequality
👷♀️ Labour market and economy
We focus on two dimensions: ambition and policy alignment.
As we are focusing on subset of policy issues, this should not be interpreted as an assessment of manifestos as a whole.
Some reflections on how manifestos stack up...
For the first time, there is a clear divide between parties committed to meeting climate goals, and those who oppose them.
The cross-party consensus that backed Scotland's net zero target is no longer – but two-thirds of Scotland’s main parties still back it.
No party has a credible fiscal offer. Those that support a just transition aren't facing up to fiscal reality, while Reform + the Conservatives are pushing heavily in the opposite direction.
Across the board, there is a gap between spending priorities and credible funding plans.
Most parties are committed to tackling poverty, but without bolder action, Scotland's 2030 child poverty target is unlikely to be achieved.
Only the Greens back active redistribution; Reform and the Conservatives favour regressive measures likely to worsen inequality.
On the labour market and wider economy, parties diverge between those recognising the need for a more active state and those favouring a market-led approach.
Again, Reform and the Conservatives are outliers in that they do not support the aims of a just transition.
In some respects, the top level results are unsurprising. The Greens, for whom a just transition is a central aim, perform well on many areas.
Reform and the Conservatives, who oppose it, score poorly. The SNP, Labour and Lib Dems each have distinct strengths and weaknesses.
But the analysis in our report provides distinct insights on each party's platform, as we get into quite a bit of detail.
Read the full report here 👇 futureeconomy.scot/publications/2…
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