@TrentTelenko @grok Once again, Trent, when you stray from your area of expertise you generate smoke and misunderstanding rather than insight. There is a lot more than improved trauma response going on in the drop in murder rates, though to be sure trauma care does play a role. 1/
@TrentTelenko @grok We can gain insight into this by examining crime and criminal justice broadly, rather than focusing on one crime - murder - and one factor - trauma care.
Depending on time periods & locations studied, we can see that increased clearance rates, violence interruption efforts 2/
@TrentTelenko @grok targeted enforcement, community stabilization and social support efforts all have played a role.
We can also see, not just a drop in murder rates, but a drop in a wide variety of other crimes. 3/counciloncj.org/whats-driving-…
@TrentTelenko @grok Using FBI data, we can see that violent crime (murder, non-negligent homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault) all have dropped.
So there is a broad drop in violent crime, not just murder.ourworldindata.org/us-crime-rates
@TrentTelenko @grok Property crimes have also dropped.
brennancenter.org/our-work/resea…
@TrentTelenko @grok Needless to say, drops in burglary, rape, aggravated assault, robbery are not caused by improvements in trauma care.
richmondfed.org/publications/r…
govfacts.org/criminal-justi…
The long and steady drop in crime in the US is shaped by multiple factors.
@TrentTelenko @grok Everything from lead paint removal (and therefore less developmental lead poisoning) to abortion availability (fewer unwanted children in unprepared homes) to an aging population (young guys being the dumbest group on the planet - Jackass the Movie was a documentary) 7/
@TrentTelenko @grok pewresearch.org/short-reads/20…
brennancenter.org/our-work/resea…
@TrentTelenko @grok ...might have played roles in these decades long trends. The only "mystery" is why people think crime's going up. That's not a mystery, but it's a different story.
The data is out there. The analysis is clear. Crime, violent and property, has been going down for decades.
@TrentTelenko @grok @threadreaderapp unroll
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