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Yahyalı Yahya @yahyaliyahya03
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I will share an analyse about upcoming Battle of #Dara
Preparations of the #SAA continue in #Dara region. #SAA #FSA #Syria #ISIS #HTS #Syrianrebels
Huge battle is coming.
The first target of the campaign against opponents will probably be the el #Lajat plateau , which threatens the supply line to the #SAA controlled #Dara city.
Generally #Lajat plateau open vast area with small villages . Huge mechanised units of #SAA with intensive air support and can easily take over this area.

The most important area for rebels in this area the supply route to the #Lajat is the Busra al Harir town,
If #SAA attack this town the northern region under danger of siege.
#Lajat rebels must withdraw after the Initiative attacks, especially ATGM, IED, sniper attacks and must fallback before the supply routes fall or they will trap in huge open fields and they all rebel forces will die or choos the surrrender. They vulnerable for airstrikes. #Dara
From Busra al Harir to #Dara full with the big towns, these regions are the most favorable zone for defending, but small villages lying near #Jordan border.
If #SAA use this advantage they can reach the Naseeb border crossing by going over the highway. It will cause to big danger to the big towns and #Dara city from the south.
After that attacks if #SAA tries to advance from the open fields near the city of #Dara and from the inside the city, the #Quneitra-#Dara supply line will be cut off
And if the #Naseeb border crossing seized and held and fortify that area to rebel counterattacks at the same time. Rebel lines will under very big danger.
If they achive this victories in #Dara and #Naseeb #SAA will conduct further operations against the opposition territory in #Quneitra , #Dara and eastern towns of #Dara at same time and easily they can divide into pieces.
Rebels in #Dara have equipment that can defend themselves in the best way. Since 2014, they have not been doing extensive operations, but the southern storm in 2015 has been cut short due to the pressure of #Jordan.
The last years #Dara #Manshiya-#Sajnah assaults have also been completed with victory and rebels captured these 2 neighborhoods and they strengthen their situation in this city. That operation can easily turn into huge battle if #Jordan doesnt want to end of the attack.
More than half of the city of #Dara are under control of the opposition and the crooked urban parts in the city center are under their control.
It is estimated that there are at least 30 thousand well-trained rebels in the #Dara-#Quneitra with many artillery, BMP and tank.
And they have rebel made accurate and effective Omar missile. We saw that missile impacts huge destruction for #SAA checkpoints in the #Sajnah and #Manshiya neighborhoods of #Dara
In last 4 years #SyrianRebels of the Southern Front (#Dara-#Quneitra) are pretty quite and they not face with massive operations of #SAA like #Idlib, #Aleppo and #EasternGhouta rebels.
They have so much time to prepare for last Battle of #Dara and they didnt lost thousands of rebels and hundreds of vehicles like northern rebels in past years. Southern Front was mostly calm.
We know that the armored and artillery forces are still crowded and ready for the battle. They have huge amount of ATGMs, infantry weapons, armed pickups. Their armored vehicles such as tanks and BMPs for years they have not entered big battle and them ready for #Dara battle.
Also they have lots of MANPADS againts the helicopters and low flying jets.
If rebels want to stay here, they will have a huge people support on all kinds of military and moral support.

If they say that we have the right to be released to #Idlib and if they try to get rid of it, then we should not be surprised if they accept evacuations after some small battles in #Dara
Tens of thousands of militants, strategic and large towns, more than half of the city of Dara with the defensive and favorable sections, prepared barriers, ditches, IED-mine fields, heavy weapons, and preparations have been made for years with knowledge of last attack to #Dara
What the fate of the South Front will be depends on how determed the Opposition is for their revolution.

#Dara, #Syria
I will continue to write about #Dara tomorrow, thanks to everybody which read my analyse, especially @IvanSidorenko1
Also, the decisions of the some countries are very important in the resistance of the rebels in #Daraa. These countries are Israel, Jordan and the Gulf countries.
#Israel, does not want #SAA, Hezbollah, Shiite militias, and Iran, and sees it as a great threat to itself. #Daraa
If #Israel continues to the use the rebel area as a buffer zone in the region, the Rebels resistance, should increase with help of #Jordan and #Israel
Rebels are surrounding the #Daraa supply line from two sides, they could make an effective struggle.
Even with ATGM shots and armed attacks, they could make the supply line to the city unusable, and they could give large losses to the #SAA as they did in 2011-2015, but they can not evaluate them for three years.

Rebels in this region have missed tremendous opportunities in the last three years, especially with the pressure of #Jordan and the Gulf countries, especially the spring and summer of 2015, a great opportunity for them to reach #Damascus or to capture #Daraa and secure themselves
The operations of the #SAA in 2016-2017 against #Aleppo and #ISIS terrorist organization led to the withdrawal of large amounts from these fronts and the fact that these places were empty. #Syria #Daraa
But they did not evaluate the opportunities as usual, and even the #EasternGhouta Operation created opportunities. The #Daraa rebels , though, sat comfortably for a few years, but the escaped opportunities lost them the war and they were about to face a terrific counterattack.
Rebels now have to unite and co-operate by leaving the differences between them to aside or they will at least lose the chance to survive in the south and north of the country with a #Gaza-like structure.
If the people in #Daraa are evacuated to İdlib, too many militants and civilian residents will accumulate in a narrow area.
The different opinions of rebels and agents from many countries will increase the problems in the #Idlib and soon the beginning of the assault against #Idlib will lead to the complete loss of the war.
The loss of the rebels will also lead to at least 1 million people filled with agents and terrorists to flock to #Turkey.
If the Rebels dont want the lose efforts of 7 years, they should unite and exhibit their last resistance.

#Daraa, #Quneitra, #Syria, #SAA, #FSA
If you like the my analyse about #Daraa. i will share much more about #Syria, #Iraq, #Lybia, #Yemen, #Afghanistan and other places in the #Middleeast and i will share huge article about #Iran also
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