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Pablo Martínez Bernal @_PabloMB
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Humans are terrible predictors. Following is a compilation (in chronological order) of the worst predictions ever made by humans across history:

(THREAD)...
"The year which has passed has not, indeed, been market by any of those striking discoveries which at once revolutionize, so to speak, the department of science on which they bear" - Thomas Bell, reviewing scientific studies of the year including Darwin's Theory of Evolution,1858
"Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You're crazy." - Workers whom Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his project to drill for oil, 1859
"We can close the books on infectious diseases." -- William H. Seward, speaking to the US Congress, 1869
"No one will pay good money to get from Berlin to Postdam in one hour when he can ride his horse there in one day for free." - King William I of Prussia, on trains, 1870s
"Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction." - Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872
"This 'telephone' has too many shortcoming to be seriously considered as a means of communication. This device is inherently of no value to us." - Western Union internal memo, 1876
"The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not, we have plenty of messenger boys" - Sir William Preece, chief engineer of the British Post Office, 1876
"Everyone acquainted with the subject will recognize it as a conspicuous failure." - Henry Morton, president of the Stevens Institute of Technology on Edison's light bulb, 1880
"Radio has no future. Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible. X-rays will prove to be a hoax." - William Thomson, Lord Kelvin, British scientist, 1899
"Everything that can be invented has been invented." - Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, U.S. Office of Patents, 1899
"Fooling around with alternating current (AC) is just a waste of time. Nobody will use it, ever." - Thomas Edison, 1889
"I must confess that my imagination refuses to see any sort of submarine doing anything but suffocating its crew and floundering at sea" - HG Wells, British novelist, 1901
"The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty - a fad." - President of the Michigan's Savings Bank, advising not to invest in For Moter, 1903
"Not even God himself could sink this ship." - Deckhand of the Titanic during launch of the ship, 1911 (This one is my favorite!)
"You'll be home before the leaves have fallen from the trees." - Kaiser Wilhekm II to his troops at the start of WWI, 1914
"The idea that cavalry will be replaced by these iron coaches is absurd. It is little short of treasonous." - Aide-de-camp to Field Marshal Haig, at a tank demonstration, 1916
"The energy produced by the breaking down of the atom is a very poor kind of thing. Anyone who expectes a source of power from the transformation of these atoms is talking moonshine" - Ernest Rutherford, shortly after splitting the atom for the 1st time, 1917
"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to no one in particular" - Associates of David Sarnoff responding to his call for investment in the radio, 1921
"Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?" - H. M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927
"We will not see a crash in our time." - John Maynard Keynes, 2 years before the Great Depression, 1927
"Talking films are a very interesting invention, but I do not believe they will remain long in fashion." - Louis-Jean Lumière, 1929
"Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." - Irving Fisher, just before the Great Depression
"While the crash only took place six months ago, I am convinced we have now the worst and with continued unity of effort we shall rapidly recover." - Herbert Hoover, 1930
"There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will." - Albert Einstein, 1932
"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." - Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943
"The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives." - Admiral William Leahy, U.S. Atomic Bomb Project.
"Television won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." - Daryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox, 1946
"While theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially it is an impossibility." - Lee DeForest, inventor.
"Nuclear-powered vacuum cleaners will probably be a reality in 10 years" - Alex Lewyt, President of Lewyt Vacuum company, 1955
"I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won't last out the year" - Editor of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957
"There is practically no chance communications space sattelites will be used to provide better telephone, telegraph, television or radio service inside the US" - T.A.M Craven, FCC Commissioner, 1961
"We don't like their sound and guitar music is on the way out. The Beatles have no future in show business" - Decca Recording Co executive, 1962
"With over 50 foreign cars already on sale here, the Japanese auto industry isn't likely to carve out a big slice of the U.S. market." - Business Week, 1968
"By the mid 1980s, automated autos, noiseless pneumatic subways and luxury-liner hovercraft will have radically restructured our surface mobility" - David Rorvik, novelist, 1970
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." - Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp, 1977
"Cellular phones will absolutely not replace local wire systems." - Marty Cooper, wireless communication pioneer, 1981
"64kb is the maximum amount of memory any computer would ever need." - Bill Gates, year unknown
"We will never make a 32-bit operating system." - Bill Gates, 1989
"The idea of a personal communicator in every pocket is a 'pipe dream driven by greed'." - Andy Grove, CEO of Intel, 1992
"Almost all of the many predictions now being made about 1996 hinge on the Internet's continuing exponential growth. But I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." - Robert Metcalfe, founder of 3Com, 1995
"Nicholas Negroponte, director of the MIT Media Lab, predicts that we'll soon buy books and newspapers straight over the Internet. Uh, sure. So how come my local mall does more business in an afternoon than the entire internet handles in a month?." - Clifford Stoll, 1995
"Six days, six weeks. I doubt six months." - Donald Rumsfeld, on how long the Iraq War will take, 2003
"The subscription model of buying music is bankrupt. I think you could make available the Second Coming in a subscriptiuon model, and it might not be successful." - Steve Jobs, 2003
"Everyone's always asking me when Apple will come out with a cell phone. My answer is, 'Probably never'." - David Pogue, New York Times, 2006
"There's no chance the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance. If you actually look at the 1.3 billion phones that get sold, I'd prefer to have our software in 60-80% of them, than I would to have 2-3%, which is what Apple might get." - Steve Ballmer, 2007
END. All credit must go to Julien Faure, Analyst at @AmiralGestionES.
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