Chris Hayes Profile picture
Jun 22, 2018 11 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Since I'm seeing a bunch of zombie takes about "How To Solve The Politics of Immigration" today, a brief thread on my experience covering this issue the last 13 years.
Since 2005's McCain-Kennedy legislation, the basic approach to comprehensive immigration reform has been the same: you need to be *tough* on the border, assure people there is a rigorous and orderly process and then people will accept legalization for the undocumented.
This was the same general structure of the Gang of Eight immigration bill in the Senate in 2013. And it makes a lot of sense: there's strong majority support for this approach in poll after poll.

In fact that bill passed the senate 68-32!

But.
Both those pieces of legislation were killed by hard-right, restrictionist mobilization against it. The plain fact of immigration politics in this country is that the Steve King/Stephen Miller wing of the GOP, a small minority of the country, has a total veto on it.
Now what *has* happened during the last 13 years is that unauthorized immigration has fallen significantly, net migration from Mexico has reached zero, and funding and manpower at the border has doubled. There have never been more border patrol and more ICE agents.
Deportations in the first term of Obama hit record highs. In short, The border has never been more patrolled and militarized.

And yet somehow the anti-immigration forces during this time have only gotten stronger and more extreme.
That's because the politics of opposition aren't driven by concerns about border security or lawfulness. There *are* lots of persuadable *voters* who do have those concerns. But they're not the obstacle.

No, the hardcore oppositon is driven by demographic and racial panic.
The leaders of that wing, Steve King for instance, are very open and clear about their opposition to demographic change. Steve Bannon even pointed to having too many Asian tech CEO's as an example of the problem he's trying to solve.
The president himself lamented immigration from Haiti because it is a shithole country and openly pined for more people from countries like Norway.

They are not subtle about this.
And that is why no amount of border security or enforcement ***will ever be enough*** to assuage their opposition.
The only political solution is for the pro-immigration faction, which is closer to the majority's views on the topic, to organize sufficiently to deal Steve King et al total defeat. That's what happened in California after Prop 187. I see no other way out.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Chris Hayes

Chris Hayes Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @chrislhayes

May 17, 2023
It's now been 3 months since The Free Press published a first-person whistleblower account of systematic mistreatment in a MO gender clinic. They also published a reported story in which one (1) mother of a patient went on the record to object to her child's treatment.
Meanwhile, multiple other outlets have conducted dozens and dozens of interviews with parents, employees, and patients and found no corroboration for the very disconcerting and specific allegations in the first report.
Many people approvingly cited the first report and I'm kinda wondering at what point we can draw some conclusions about this entire episode. I guess it's possible that there's been a huge cover-up of flagrant and systemic deception and mistreatment at the clinic but...
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15, 2023
Last night I talked about the East Palestine, OH train derailment and what it shows about the fundamental contradiction at the heart of modern conservatism.
Basically, the MAGA-dominated right these days is more and more dependent on a specific demographic: white working class voters outside major metro areas. Voters like those in East Palestine. And those voters have very real issues and struggle they are facing.
In the case of East Palestine, it's a wildly profitable railroad company responsible for a massive chemical explosion in their town. But the real question is: what do you want to do about it? And here modern MAGA-ism has very very little to say.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 10, 2023
CARES + ARP was the single biggest infusion of cash into working and poor people's household balance sheets in...history basically. That money has now been spent down and this is the result.
But there's also a catch 22 to it all. Which is that people - understandably! - hate inflation and any continuation of fiscal support at that scale in these conditions would have been obviously inflationary.
That said I think there's often a lag between fundamentals and sentiment (and polarization is doing a TON of work as well). If we avoid recession, inflation comes down and wages remain strong, you would expect these numbers to improve.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 12, 2023
Stipulating I'm not saying anything new, nor have any special expertise, there's a very weird dynamic with the Fed right now. It's clear they're not just looking at the price level, as is their mandate, but rather Wall St / and labor markets.
If you're just looking at the price level, things are very encouraging! Instead they're viewing the stock market and unemployment rates as proxies, and, particularly with regards to the former, have locked themselves into a weird battle of wills with investors.
So you get this weird thing where cool CPI prints --> buoyed markets --> Fed feeling the need to crack down and speak and act even more hawkishly. It's a weird game theory kind of dynamic. Extra-ironically markets seem to have priced this in a bit today so no big rally.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 1, 2022
Remember that Tucker kicked off this whole Kanye publicity tour, fawning over him and telling his audience that Kanye was being falsely slandered as nuts.
Even more revealing, they edited out the weird stuff he said about Jews! thedailybeast.com/tucker-carlson…
“interesting, deep, provocative” - Tucker Carlson on Kanye West.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8, 2022
While we all wait for returns, some thoughts about my expectations for today and the implications, at the broadest level, for American democracy.
First I think the Republican party poses a serious threat to American democracy and has turned away from democratic norms and towards authoritarian delusions and aspirations. That said...
I don't think a GOP victory this week signals the End of Democracy. There's no final, definitive moment. There will remain many means of democratic resistance to authoritarian aspirations that the broad pro-democratic majority will have to use:courts, protest, elections, etc
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(