Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Richard Ensor Profile picture
@richardjensor
Jul 2, 2018 • 12 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Exit poll from ⁦@ElFinanciero_Mx⁩

AMLO: 49%
Anaya: 27%
Meade: 18%
Bronco: 6% Image
An absolute disaster for the PAN and even worse for the PRI. Fantastic result for AMLO, though he’ll want to break the 50% barrier. Hard to see him failing to collect a majority in the congress with this result
Perhaps disaster for the PAN is harsh. Remember one year ago many people thought someone could win this election with 30% of the vote, in a close three-way election with independents. Anaya got 27%. But AMLO just had a great campaign
The lowest point in the PRI’s history was 2006. It won 22%. Tonight is a catastrophe for them. Inexplicably, the campaign shouted “vamos a ganar” until the final day. Baffling.

Meade is on TV now, conceding to AMLO. This mess won’t be his problem
Now the INE is starting to count the votes. Follow along here dtm2018.ine.mx/#/presidencia/…
INE projecting a turnout of 62.9%, about the same as 2012
18 votes counted so far for Margarita Zavala
#remontada? #MexicoVoto2018
Anaya out now. Briefly congratulates AMLO and gets straight into trashing the government for setting the attorney-general on him in the middle of the campaign
All candidates have now conceded. This is happening for real. Mexico is going to have a leftist president
24 states have started counting votes.
Meade is winning in San Luís Potosí.
Anaya is winning in Guanajuato and Aguascalientes.
AMLO is winning in the other 21.
The PRI is currently polling third (!) in Estado de Mexico.
AMLO with 53% of the vote there.
Yikes. AMLO is on track to win 80% of votes in Tabasco

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Richard Ensor

Richard Ensor Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @richardjensor

Richard Ensor Profile picture
Feb 27, 2022
Read this article about the city that Lviv is becoming. It also has some other info, which I will write in a short thread:
economist.com/europe/2022/02…
Many countries moved their embassies to Lviv earlier this month as war loomed. But they don’t think it’s safe there anymore. Four of the most important embassies to Ukraine told me they’ve relocated (again) to Poland or Moldova.
The Ukrainian cabinet is placing its ministers around different parts of the country, and outside the country, so that the government can survive even if something terrible happens in Kyiv. Many large Ukrainian companies are employing a similar plan with their board members
Read 5 tweets
Richard Ensor Profile picture
Sep 26, 2020
Hi Patricia. I’m not the author of the article you quote in your thread, but a recent academic paper made a big impression on me. It looks at the responses of the Argentine, Brazilian, Colombian and Mexican governments to the pandemic and the economic crisis it has created
It estimates that before the governments’ social-spending response is taken into account, in both Brazil and Mexico around 10m people were expected to fall below the World Bank’s $5.50-a-day poverty in 2020 (see the “new poor in millions” column) Image
But the right-wing government of Brazil has begun spending generously on extra cash transfers directly to the poor to help them survive the economic crisis. It’s helping, a lot. See our article here economist.com/the-americas/2… Image
Read 6 tweets
Richard Ensor Profile picture
Jul 2, 2020
Hugo López-Gatell confirms to the Washington Post what those looking at the death certificates in Mexico City already knew: the Covid-19 death toll in Mexico’s capital is several times greater than what official figures suggest washingtonpost.com/world/the_amer…
New York had 25,000 more deaths than usual during the height of the pandemic. Mexico City (where death certificates are digitised and trackable online) had 17,000 so-called “Excess Deaths” by June 7th.

The pandemic has raged on since then; the toll may be close to 25,000 by now
Looking at the death certificates, It is hard to avoid the conclusion that Mexico City’s pandemic already has been approximately as deadly and costly as New York’s.

It shouldn’t have been. The median age in New York is 38. The median age in Mexico City is 33
Read 5 tweets
Richard Ensor Profile picture
Jun 5, 2020
Mexicans are in the streets decrying police brutality. But not in the name of George Floyd: they’re marching for Giovanni López, who died after police stopped him on the evening of May 4th. Today, a month later, protesters in Guadalajara marched. And it got ugly
The cases of George Floyd and Giovanni López are not the same:
— No video of López’s death (only his arrest, which does not look deadly)
— The reason for López’s arrest remains unclear
— Mexican police reports accuse López of aggression
— The police involved are still working
A political fight over the death of Giovanni López awaits. The governor of Jalisco (where it happened) is, perhaps, the president’s most visible opponent. The federal government claims that López was stopped for not wearing a mask—a Jalisco pandemic policy gob.mx/segob/prensa/s… Image
Read 5 tweets
Richard Ensor Profile picture
Mar 29, 2020
As the rest of Latin America shuts its borders, the US-Mexico border “closure” is nothing of the sort. My dispatch from Tijuana in this week’s @TheEconomist economist.com/the-americas/2…
More thoughts:
A border closure has its logic. Tijuana and San Diego are neighbours—one bi-national city. Today, San Diego has 488 confirmed COVID cases. Tijuana has 10. It’s hard to tell 40m+ Californians not to shop or visit family if Mexicans can cross the border to do it
Many economists reckon border closures are pretty pointless once an outbreak is already spreading within them. @tom_nuttall goes deeper into this in the European context here economist.com/europe/2020/03…
Read 6 tweets
Richard Ensor Profile picture
Mar 12, 2020
This week’s edition of @TheEconomist is a de-facto special issue on the Coronavirus. Here’s our cover story on the politics of pandemics: economist.com/leaders/2020/0…
And our leader on how the current financial turmoil is different from what happened during the Global Financial Crisis: economist.com/leaders/2020/0…
This piece breaks down the growth of the virus in the United States, and what happens from here economist.com/united-states/…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(