Kyle McDonald Profile picture
Oct 12, 2018 32 tweets 16 min read Read on X
thread: since moving to LA i've been sailing a lot. i took @memotv yesterday and his analytical approach reminded me what a multifaceted activity it can be. it spans a number of disciplines and traditions, from polynesian wayfinding to cutting edge engineering. ImageImage
polynesian sailors mastered the science of navigation. one of their traditional tools is based on swell interference patterns: they use the boat rocking to determine their position and orientation in known geography, or to estimate the location of unknown islands. ImageImage
those drawings are from this incredible paper that describes another polynesian piloting tool called "te lapa": flashes of light that radiate from land at distances of 2-200 miles (3-320km). no one knows what causes them. tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.275… Image
i'm also inspired by adventurers like thor heyerdahl, who thought african sailors once crossed the atlantic in papyrus boats (spoiler: probably not). so he built & sailed a papyrus boat to test that it was possible. this doc about his process is epic.
his journey was a kind of activism. he chose a very diverse & international crew to demonstrate that people could live in harmony. they also discovered evidence that oil tankers were destroying the ocean and presented it to the UN. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thor_Heye… Image
in terms of raw speed, wind-powered vehicles were doing 80+ mph (130 kph) long before trains or planes. an article from 1881 provides this visceral description of an iceboat on the hudson river. babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.… ImageImage
people are still iceboating today and regularly exceed 50 knots (57mph, 92 kph)
i've heard the record for iceboating speed was set in 1938 at 124 knots (143 mph, 230 kph) on a lake in wisconsin. i have to admit i'm a little skeptical, but there's no doubt these dudes from 1881 hold the record for being most fashionable. Image
the idea of a sails being "a thing of the air" is also mentioned by paul larsen, creator of @sailrocket, the fastest sailboat in history: 59 knots (68mph/110kph) in 25 knots of wind. this quote totally changed my perspective on sailing. wired.com/2013/01/ff-pau… Image
paul provides some live narration for this video of sailrocket beating the world record. after 10 years of chasing his dream he's caught in the moment and completely at a loss for words. it's the exact opposite of the iceboat article.
one common feature between iceboats and @sailrocket is they have low friction: from ice skates or from hydrofoils. there are a bunch of smaller craft with foils out there that are completely changing how sailing looks. i really want to try this 😳
living in a city dominated by cars, there's something incredibly satisfying about flying around without any engine or exhaust, barely anchored to the surface of the earth. that's all. in conclusion: please enjoy this video of hobie 16 sailing in greece 🙏
wind-powered shipping making a comeback? "the biggest 15 container ships in the world create as much pollution as all the cars on the planet"... but the additional cost of sail-shipping only comes to 30¢ on €6 bottle of wine. via @jbibasse independent.co.uk/environment/sa…
@olafureliasson is getting some push back for #icewatchlondon where he transports 110 tons of ice from greenland to outside tate modern to tell a story about climate change. he gives a fair response.. but i would love to see the ice shipped by sail instagram.com/p/BrDZ4RenLfU/
wind-powered trains (not the dutch kind) from 1830s and beyond. i can easily imagine a solarpunk post-apocalyptic future where this is our best hope for long-distance travel over land en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sail_bogey Sail attached to a small tr..."Sail on the South Car..."Sail bogey at Herne B...
reading about polynesian navigation from david lewis (1972). i love the way the diagrams involve both stars and islands, the heavens and earth, in the same plane openresearch-repository.anu.edu.au/handle/1885/11… Diagram from page 131 of &q...
the snowfer, "The Most Versatile Snow Ice Sailing Board in the World" snowfer.com/Indexb.html
anuta is a remote island in the solomons. 0.4㎢ and 300 people, tiny but very dense. they are still sailing 200 year old canoes (pre-european-contact)
excellent documentary from 1983 about polynesian voyaging with a focus on mau piailug, micronesian navigator who navigated the replica voyaging canoe hōkūleʻa from hawaiʻi to tahiti and beyond using traditional techniques pbs.org/video/the-navi…
outrigger sailing canoe plans by tim anderson, who also happens to be one of the most prolific instructables authors and one creator of the tech used for zcorp 3D printers mit.edu/people/robot/
art residency on a polynesian-style catamaran (pahi 42) near helsinki
the current transatlantic sailing record is ~3.5 days. imagine if we put our engineering prowess into better sustainable transportation. i'd gladly take a 60km/h boat over a 800km/h plane
nytimes.com/2019/08/13/cli…
great documentary about the past, present and future of sailing canoes in the marshall islands. “wa kuk wa jimor” (2011) by rachel miller vimeo.com/31752506
absolutely love this pic of marshallese emilie ned pounding pandanus leaf (for sails) in the ozarks, using a deactivated american mortar brought from the marshall islands 💪 aam-us.org/2019/07/22/201… Image
the marshall islands were, of course, the primary site of american nuclear testing in the pacific. missile tests continue to this day. the US uses alternative names for all the islands.. maybe just for convenience? Image
..but i can’t help remembering a story from my grandfather, who said one of the first things the nazis did in poland was rename streets that referenced polish heroes and history. names and symbols are powerful. which is why i love that mortar being used to reclaim tradition.
cargo ships emit as much sulphur as 50 million diesel cars. some folks are trying to fix this with sails. one of my favorite projects is "tanker proa" which augments existing container ships with a polynesian-inspired design. their prototype is super cute.
@TOWindTransport is working on a massive 67m sail-powered cargo ship. they already transport goods on older boats, including their emissions-free rum, "rhum towt" (which is excellent)
@TOWindTransport @NewDawnTraders is working on the 60m "praocargo", which would be the biggest proa of all time? proas are different from european-style boats in that they always keep one side of the boat to windward, and use an outrigger for balance. newdawntraders.com/cargo-culture/… Image
@TOWindTransport @NewDawnTraders if you've been sailing, you know the boat has to constantly change directions, "tacking" (zig-zagging) when you are headed in the direction the wind is coming from. proas solve this with a technique called "shunting" where the sail changes sides.
@TOWindTransport @NewDawnTraders apparently there's a popular land-sailing class called a "blokart" (blow + go-kart) they go 65m/h (105k/h) and look ridiculous
new james bond, new westworld, new christopher nolan ImageImageImage

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More from @kcimc

Jun 13, 2023
a new study on bitcoin energy use gives us the most accurate picture yet, and it basically confirms what we already knew: bitcoin is using about as much energy as the entire internet (around 12GW or 100TWh/year).
previous work on bitcoin energy has been “top-down”, broadly based on market-driven data, assuming that miners are spending a % of their profit on electricity. but when electricity prices go down or bitcoin price goes up, top-down approaches overestimate—by up to 50% for CBECI.
this new study is different because it measures tiny variations in the way that bitcoin mining equipment generates random numbers. these variations serve as a fingerprint allowing us to directly estimate the proportion of different machines.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 8, 2023
one of the biggest features @OpenAI could add right now would be contextual generation constraints for their LLMs. for example, forcing responses to match a JSON template.
this is only possible when you have access to the inner sampling loop. the first company to offer this at scale is going to open up a huge market, because templated responses will lure in data scientists trying to make sense of big natural language corpora.
in practical terms: this would allow a programmer to point the chatgpt api at thousands of documents and turn them into a thousand-row spreadsheet/database with well-defined columns/schema. right now this is fraught with hiccups (though it's still faster than doing it manually).
Read 8 tweets
Apr 10, 2023
is there any research on, like, LLM societies? 1. ask an LLM for unique 10-word descriptors for 1000 different people 2. have it fill out each person with a backstory 3. track their locations in a virtual space and run simulated interactions between them when they meet.
the sims, feat gpt-4: turing’s purgatory
give the entire society a real challenge. natural disaster, impending war, rising fascism, climate change, and ask the LLM to read through millions of lines of interactions and find the most interesting ones, compile it into a book of plays. like an AI DAU gq.com/story/movie-se…
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Dec 8, 2022
one year later, i've just published to arxiv a final post-mortem of ethereum's proof-of-work era emissions arxiv.org/abs/2112.01238 the final damage: 18.1 million tons of CO2, 20% more than the nord stream pipeline leaks kylemcdonald.github.io/ethereum-emiss…
i opted not to add any new mining equipment benchmarks (which would have gone in the red circle), and not to make any other changes that would have modified my previous predictions. i just ran the model for the remaining amount of time until the merge. Figure 2 from linked paper showing hashing efficiency benchm
for easy replication, and possibly useful for other folks doing historical analysis of ethereum: i published a ~200MB sqlite3 database that includes the miner address and extra_data field for every PoW-era block. see the readme for a link github.com/kylemcdonald/e…
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Dec 8, 2021
seeing this anti-web3 link go around, "keep the web free, say no to web3". i think this takedown misunderstands some details, so i'm going to try and clarify which critiques i think are actually valuable yesterweb.org/no-to-web3/ind…
1 "quadratic voting means people vote with money" yes, but it favors 10 people spending $1 over 1 person spending $10. it's better than existing lobbying systems that only empower people w a ton of money. quadratic voting works when each person gets a fixed set of votes.
the bigger issue is that web3 has no way to give individual people a fixed set of votes ("proof of personhood"). so it will always fundamentally be about what you can afford—and in the worst cases, about how many accounts you're willing to create ("sybil attacks").
Read 10 tweets
Dec 1, 2021
New research & tracker for Ethereum energy + emissions. I estimate that every day Ethereum delays PoS, it emits ~20ktCO2. That’s comparable to two to three coal power plants. kylemcdonald.github.io/ethereum-emiss…
This is where I say “what I found will shock you!” and give some more scary numbers and comparisons. But basically, I found confirmation that previous estimates are probably in the right range. I’ll recap in this thread, but I also wrote a short summary kcimc.medium.com/ethereum-emiss…
If my numbers are right, Ethereum is using around 2.6GW right now, annualized to 23TWh/year. Comparable in scale to a small country, or a US state like Massachusetts (21TWh/year). But also, only 0.1% of global electricity. Ethereum network power in Gigawatts and equivalent annualize
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