So what’s up with Brexit? Unfortunately, this is going to be long.
1. We had a non-binding referendum where the option to leave one by less than 4%
2. The PM Conservative @David_Cameron who called the referendum and said he would stay on to oversee its outcome, promptly resigned
3. The Conservative party selected another PM Theresa May who very soon expressed a determination to adopt the hardest breaks it and started hedging it about with egregious red lines. This being way beyond any reasonable mandate granted by the marginal referendum “win”.
4. May couldn’t find a way forward so in 2017 she called an election as a result of which she lost her majority.
theguardian.com/politics/ng-in…
5. To remain in power she bribed a minority extreme right fundamentalist party in Northern Ireland to prop up her government.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democrati…
6. It became apparent that a large theft of personal data was used to target advertising at susceptible groups to persuade them to vote Leave. Very few of these ads had any basis in reality, rather they were specifically adapted to appeal to the target groups’ particular biases.
7. It became apparent that vote leave had also broken the law on campaign funding. These were criminal offences and several individuals were fined as a result. The files were referred to the Metropolitan Police for further action. electoralcommission.org.uk/__data/assets/…
8. It became apparent that in the same way as they had intervened in the election of Trump, various clandestine groups supported by Putin had played a part in encouraging the population to vote leave. Their ultimate goal was to undermine the EU as a rival power in Europe.
9. Disturbingly, neither of the main parties, the Conservatives or Labour, showed the slightest inclination to doubt the legitimacy of the referendum outcome despite the above facts coming to light.
10. Towards the end of 2017 and at the beginning 2018 it became apparent that there were no known benefits to be had from Brexit. To the contrary, any form of Brexit but especially a no deal Brexit would cause particular damage to the UK and its economy.
Despite this, the two main parties continue to support it.
11. In October 2018, under pressure, the Metropolitan Police revealed that they had taken no steps whatsoever to investigate fraud during the referendum, due to, they said, “political sensitivity”.
Again, neither of the two main parties had anything to say on this issue.
12. If the UK is to leave in March 2019, a deal needs to be reached now or at least no later than November 2018 in order that it can be implemented.
However, the government is in a state of political paralysis. Neither of the 3 Brexit forms proposed (charters, Canada plus, leaving without a deal) enjoy majority support.
13. Meanwhile support for remaining in the EU has grown.
And the option to Remain actually has greater support than any form of Brexit. The two main parties continue to ignore this.
politico.eu/article/brexit…
14. So what is actually fuelling Brexit at this point in time?
15. Can it be respecting the referendum? Although politicians of both main parties actually say this with great frequency, none of the forms of Brexit proposed actually respect what people voted for in the EU ref.
a. Theresa May already exceeded the mandate of the referendum. When she lost her majority, this showed that there was no support for her proposed form of Brexit which has crystallised in the Chequers plan.
b. The form of Brexit proposed by Johnson and ERG who, let us not forget, have never been placed before the people for approval, again have no mandate.
c. Leaving without a deal, was not an option presented as part of the EU referendum. Not even vote leave proposed the UK should crash out without a deal.
d. Labour supported Remain in EUref. It now claims it can negotiate a Brexit that will be supported by the people. Labour has not placed its Brexit proposal before the people, there is very little idea of what it might entail. From what we know it seems to resemble Chequers
16. So why do our political classes continue to support Brexit?
17. Can it be the advantages provided by Brexit? Unlikely, since any meager advantages from Brexit are vastly outweighed by the now apparent disadvantages.
There is talk of food rationing, scarcity of meds and a major motorway is being turned into a lorry park.
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
18. Ultimately, we are forced to two conclusions: the main reason why both political parties persist in supporting this extremely destructive policy is either FINANCIAL GAIN or PRIDE because they are afraid of losing face.
a. Financial Gain: The Tax Avoidance Directive due to come into force on 1 January 2019...
ec.europa.eu/taxation_custo…
b. It has to be said that in terms of rationality and ethics PRIDE is the very worst reason to persist with a ruinous course of action.
Let's say this again:
REMAIN has more supporters than May's Chequers plan
REMAIN has more supporters than ERG & Johnson's Canada + plan
REMAIN has more supporters than No Deal Brexit...
NONE OF THE ABOVE will command a majority in Parly
So... We need a #PeoplesVote!
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