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Keir Giles Profile picture
@KeirGiles
Oct 21, 2018 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Watching the coverage of #PeoplesMarchVote / #PeoplesVoteMarch from 7 time zones away I'm struck by two things -
1. how little faith I have in any of the reported numbers for attendance /
2. how little coherent idea or consensus there is on what a second vote would actually be about (while the first one was moronically simple, is the second supposed to be about trying to make the process less of a cock-up or trying to stop Brexit altogether?
The sensation that people are no less confused or deceived about what they are asking for on #PeoplesVoteMarch than before the original vote is alarming. Is it just an angry protest vote against the original angry protest vote?
Also, what did the voles do to get dragged into this?
#PeoplesVoleMarch

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More from @KeirGiles

Keir Giles Profile picture
Apr 1
One of the few things that startled me when researching the book 'Russia's War on Everybody' was not the scale of Russian violence against diplomatic, military and intelligence staff of the US and its allies - but the extent of US efforts to conceal it.
1/
 theins.ru/en/politics/27…
Russia's bugbear, the 'Anglo-Saxons', seem unsurprisingly to be the prime target. US, Canadian staff have been hit by 'Havana Syndrome'. What about the UK? In a 2021 BBC interview @BillEvanina challenged the suggestion no UK personnel have suffered.

2/
bbc.co.uk/news/world-583…
@BillEvanina But it's not just 'Havana Syndrome'. I heard horror stories of permanent health damage and career-ending attacks by other means. Some of the worst didn't make it into the book because I only used those with two or more independent sources.

3/ Excerpt from "Russia's War" about targeting children and pets.
Read 6 tweets
Keir Giles Profile picture
Feb 9
OK, I watched as much of it as I could. A thread with some thoughts.

Tucker Carlson's interview with Putin was good news for everybody involved. The only problem is, everybody involved is an enemy of the United States, of the West, of democracy and of genuine journalism.

1/
As so often, Vladimir Putin has found a willing helper in exploiting the self-harming behaviour of Western media outlets. The media frenzy around the interview in the West will provide an enormous boost to Carlson's new outlet, and bring him many more viewers.

2/
That in turn will ensure that Putin's toxic messages reach a far wider audience than they would have done otherwise - endorsed and boosted by exposure on Elon Musk's X.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Keir Giles Profile picture
Jun 8, 2023
Always keen to get the paperwork in order when planning acts of barbarism, Russia passed a law a week before blowing the Kakhovka dam in order to say “sorry, we can’t investigate what happened there, that’s against the law”.
ALSO: Russia passing legislation in preparation for blowing the Kakhovka dam was prominent in Ukrainian media from day one - but not in English-language coverage that today is still insisting “we don’t know who did it”.

pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2023/…
Thanks @UA_Analytica for the link.

Also attn. @TimothyDSnyder - exactly the toxic Western media behaviours you pointed to.
Read 4 tweets
Keir Giles Profile picture
Jul 14, 2022
Did you know some people have been watching the Russian military since a lot longer ago than January 2022? And they've been arguing about it for much longer too. @ChathamHouse have pulled together 10 top experts to tackle some key confusions.

🧵...

chathamhouse.org/2022/06/myths-…
This leads on from the 2021 @CHRussiaEurasia project tackling "Myths and misconceptions in the debate on Russia" - the wrong ideas about Moscow and how to deal with it that got us all in this mess in the first place.

chathamhouse.org/2021/05/myths-…
Now, instead of foreign and domestic state policy, it's ideas about why and how Russia fights that are being challenged. The war on Ukraine has demolished some myths about Russia and war - but there are plenty more to go.
Read 14 tweets
Keir Giles Profile picture
Apr 17, 2022
Quite a few people have pointed out flaws in this idea, some of them perfectly valid - so to save everybody else time and nervous energy this Easter Sunday morning, here's a thread summarising the three (for now) counter-arguments:

1/
1) Germany, not the EU, is the problem; other countries haven't had to coordinate arms shipments with EU MS so the UK wouldn't have had to either (ex German weapons blocked by Berlin fitting this pattern); instead it's sanctions not weapons where Brexit has freed UK policy;

2/
2) Alternatively, the UK WOULD have had to coordinate with EU member states on arms shipments in the same way as it has to now with NATO Allies because UK is still a NATO member, hence no difference in or out of EU (not sure about this one);

3/
Read 4 tweets
Keir Giles Profile picture
Aug 19, 2021
30 years ago today on the streets of Moscow. A short thread of no-context images.
Not taken or developed by me. Credit unknown.
Read 14 tweets

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