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Robert Barnes @Barnes_Law
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
THREAD. Why have polls been consistently off since 2014? 1/ Polls under-report older, rural, blue-collar voters due to changes in how people get polled (cell phones, online) and who answers polls (low response rate); 2/ gap in partisan preference by age/location/education peaked
Generic Ballot Partisan Gap

Age Gap Avg. (<50 vs. 65+)
1982-2006: 6 pts
2018: 20 pts

White Education Gap Avg. (Non-Coll vs. Coll+)
1982-2006: 6 pts
2018: 26 pts

Urban/Rural Gap Avg. (Urban vs. Rural)
1982-2006: 20 its
2018: 41 pts
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