1/ As @GerardBattenMEP has asked the question I shall do my best to answer it for him. Lets start with the 'Save billions on contributions'. In isolation Gerard is correct, if we no longer pay those contributions we save them, but for what?
2/ That contribution funds many things, from the European Medicines Agency, Euratom, Erasmus, Europoll, Eurojust, A29WP etc etc. Lots of bodies that the UK will need to replicate, and that replication costs money. What that contribution also gives us is a 15 fold return...
3/...when you look at the savings made just for trading within the single market. The cost of exporting to the EU as a third country will be over £4 billion a year to business plus the costs of infrastructure, people and systems for HMRC. Thats half the 'saving' wiped out...
4/.... for just one aspect of trade. It also buys us access to 759+ trade agreements including over 60 Free Trade Agreements. EU-CETA has increased UK trade to Canada by 14%, we lose that with Brexit. So thats just a few trade bits wiping out the 'saving'
5/ Lets move to 'cheaper food', remember those 759+ Trade agreements, many of those are 0% tariff zero quota agreements for developing countries. You might be able to knock 1p off a banana but you wont get cheaper food, mainly because of the increased costs to apply WTO tariffs
6/ If you want a fuller explanation on the whole tariff, EBA, GSP stuff then follow @Jim_Cornelius who does a great job of smoking the kippers on this subject. And for WTO head to @DmitryOpines for another great resource.
7/ Now fishing, a small part of the UKs GDP but an important one for the communities that fish. Most of whats caught in UK waters gets sold to mainland Europe via the single market and customs union, so moves very quickly from boat to plate.
8/ Being in the customs union and single market gives a huge advantage to UK fisherman over those from Norway and Iceland who are not in the CU. We lose both advantages with Brexit along with those other 759+ trade deals.
9/ so by regaining control of fishing we completely decimate the main market UK fisherman sell to. They can catch as much as they want, but they are going to struggle to sell it anywhere outside the UK, a country not known for its fish consumption, it will end up as cat food.
10/ lets talk about 'reducing regulation', will that help? Well, as every other trading nation moves to convergence on standards & regulations the UK plan is to go it alone. What does that mean? Well if you export, after March 2019 you are stuffed as you don't meet any standards
11/ To add some context to that a UK manufacturer will now need to certify by market as they will have no mutual recognition of any standards. This means meeting standards in multiple territories which adds cost and regulation!
12/ Then we have the costs and paperwork associated with exporting to countries outside the single market. 44% of our exports go to the EU, all of that will now need new certifications, export declarations, payments in advance etc. all at huge cost....
13/ ...and what Gerard isn't telling you is thats the price of moving from the most sophisticated trade bloc in the world with its 759+ trade deals to a ground zero baseline using WTO tariffs and quotas. Its Schrodingers paperwork, simulatanously decreasing whilst increasing!
14/ And finally 'regain control of our trade policy', so how is that working so far? Well, we've agreed a huge increase in foreign aid to 3 African nations to keep parts of an existing deal and the UK-US open skies for plane flights is much less favourable than the EU-US one
15/ It would also be interesting to hear from @GerardBattenMEP which particular parts of the current EU trade policy have a negative impact on the UK economy. After all with CETA growing UK Canada trade by 14% could the UK in isolation get a better deal?
16/ So over to you @GerardBattenMEP I trust these are suitable rational for you, perhaps you can add some flesh to your baseline soundbites........
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