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Lars Pellinat @Lars9596
, 10 tweets, 13 min read Read on Twitter
1. My Predictions For 2019:
- #Macron will find it more & more difficult to hold onto power.
- #Merkel won't last until 2021 & her power will further decrease this year quarter by quarter.
- I expect that the #Brexit-Exit-date will be moved (most likely by 12 months).
2. My Predictions For 2019:
- The issues of mass-#migration (few real #refugees) will continue to haunt #Europe, especially #Germany & continue to put pressure on the GER #Groko-government (#CDU/#CSU & #SPD).
#Predictions2019 #Year2019
3. My Predictions For 2019:
- The trend of right parties gaining more power (2018: #Italy, #Austria, #Brazil) will continue: In #France #LePen (#FN) will benefit from #Macron losing power, in #Germany the #AfD will gain further support in Eastern Germany (tbc).
4. My Predictions For 2019:
- In Germany #elections ("Landtagswahlen") will take place in #Saxony, #Thüringen & #Brandenburg. Good results by the #AfD will force the hand of the #CDU to consider a coalition with the AfD.
#Predictions2019 #Year2019
5. My Predictions For 2019:
- #EU-Elections will see more right candidates being elected to the EU.
- In the #US the shortsighted strategy of the #Democrats will help #Trump in ensuring his re-election in 2020 (which an economic downturn could upset).
6. My Predictions For 2019:
- Agree with @CapitalJon that the #US & #China need & will find a new trade deal.
- For some time the #US, #Israel & #SaudiArabia build a case against #Iran (& for #war). This will heat up & may turn ugly. Iran is not #Iraq, more body bags needed!
7. My Predictions For 2019:
- Jean-Claude #Juncker will step down in October 2019 & a new president of the #EuropeanCommission will be appointed: The candidate will co-determine the direction the #EU will take.
#Predictions2019 #Year2019
8. My Predictions For 2019:
- Markets: I predicted that the 2018-markets would be volatile & that I would most likely be mainly in cash as of May 2018 & so I was: I expect 2019 to be a rockier ride, more volatility, less good news, less chances for gains. Will be in & out + #gold
9. My Predictions For 2019: The Positives (less predictions, more certainty):
- #RugbyWorldCup in #Japan in September 2019 should be great fun.
- Plan to climb the #Zugspitze in Germany (for the experience & panorama)
- Plan to visit #Israel
- Have 364 days left for magic & fun!
@threadreaderapp please "unroll" 1 to 9.
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