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Thread challenging the seemingly overwhelming consensus that the death & destruction that accompanied the crisis in #Syria is the direct result of the Syrian State's decision to refuse to transition out of power but to instead fight against its own people till the bitter end =>
2-The reason the Syrian State receives the overwhelming share of the blame is because the world had just seen what happened in #Tunisia , and to a lesser extent in #Egypt, and thought/hoped that #Syria would most likely follow the same path.
3-Using the #Tunisia #Egypt examples to extrapolate to #Syria ignored the profound differences in the sectarian mix of these countries, made all too real by an earlier uprising (Muslim Brotherhood) that swept Syrian cities some four decades earlier. Wounds since then never died
4-Idea that Assad & his leadership would cut & run or that he would voluntarily transition out of power was naive at best. Indeed, the chance that this would happen was always near zero. Why? Think of landscape filled with settling of scores & thirst for revenge on massive scale
5-Rather than transitioning out of power, most states respond to armed insurgencies w counter-insurgency tactics.Without assistance from regional & western capitals, Syrian state would have been able to end the war early & hence avoid much of the death & destruction that followed
6-It was this foreign meddling in the Syrian uprising that made it extremely challenging for the State to use counter-insurgency strategies that would have helped bring the crisis to an early conclusion. Gulf funding, Turkish open borders and western arm & train were all to blame
7-What is truly astounding is that while Damascus has been blamed for all the death, destruction and long durability of this war, little if any blame has been assigned to the multiple regional & western capitals who threw the massive fuel that extended the life of this inferno
8-Yes, the Syrian State did use brutal tactics to survive, and yes it did need to call on its big allies to do so, but much of this would have been avoidable had regional & western capitals not gotten involved into what was supposedly an internal uprising against XYZ
9-Many societies & countries are unhappy with their leaders. Many of such leaders are autocratic & don't rule using western democratic principals. But, does this give western & regional capitals the license to finance & arm those who express displeasure with their states?
10-Modus operandi used in #Syria was to rely on the process of extreme dehumanization to trick public opinion into thinking that it was both just & moral to intervene in another country's affairs because we were protecting it from evil (derivative of the extreme dehumanization)
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