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Thread: More Tidbits on China

1. From a recent intel report, Beijing tries to make nice with Washington. US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had a phone meeting a couple of weeks ago to discuss trade and U.S.-China relations.
2. After the call, Trump insisted that the talks had been “long and good.” China’s Foreign Ministry, meanwhile, emphasized that Xi was aiming for a mutually beneficial agreement “as soon as possible.”
3. If the trade war threw it off balance, the Chinese bureaucracy seems to have found its footing now as it presents a uniform desire for compromise and consensus through all channels.
4. Even the Global Times, a Chinese state-run outlet that usually takes a harder line than the government does, viewed the call as a positive sign and told readers to have patience as the government in Beijing pursues the best possible deal.
5. The questions going forward are just how much China can compromise, just how much the U.S. will ask it to, and whether the Chinese people will bide their time as the two sides try to come to a deal.
6. And then there’s this:

7. China will face an "unstoppable" population decline over the coming decades, with fewer and fewer workers struggling to support an increasingly aging society, according to a report by a leading state-sponsored Chinese thinktank.
8. The report, which comes more than three years since China officially ended its controversial decades-long one-child policy, warns that the "the era of negative population growth is almost here," forecasting that the country's population will peak at 1.44 billion in 2029.
9. The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences report suggests that the decline in fertility rates will lead to a decrease in overall population to 1990-era levels of 1.172 billion by 2065. World Bank data from 2017 showed a Chinese population of 1.386 billion.
10. After decades of following a strict one-child policy, in 2015 Beijing announced that it would drop the controversial policy, which, for decades has been blamed for infanticide and forced sterilizations.


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11. Looks like the law of unintended consequences is biting the ChiCom Central Committee in the butt as it always does when Communists try to manage a complex economy from the top. Reminds me of Stalin’s vaunted 5-year plans that never delivered on their promises!
12. One wonders if, as its younger population and labor force decline toward mid-century, China will seek to import guest workers, or allow some immigration by Third Worlders seeking economic opportunity, in order to keep its economic engines going?
13. I tend to doubt it, as the Han do not trust even their own existing internal ethnic minorities. There are a couple of documentaries on Chinese Global Television Network (CGTN) about Africans who have moved permanently to China for work and learned the language.
14. Supposedly (according to government-owned CGTN), they are doing well and happy, but those cases are probably merely in the hundreds – and likely little more than Chinese propaganda.
15. Japan has faced a similar big problem in its declining younger labor force under 40 for the past 3 decades, but that shortage has not moved Japan to open its very homogeneous population to dilution/adulteration by foreign immigration or guest workers.
16. Of course, as much of China's economy becomes high tech, robotics and the automation of production processes and services probably will reduce demand for human labor, as it has in the US and Western Europe. Maybe.
17. One final note: China’s first domestically built aircraft carrier has launched its fourth sea trial and is expected to go into service next year, according to Chinese state media.

18. China’s second aircraft carrier has returned to its home port of Dalian after finishing a fourth sea trial, and a naval expert says it is likely to be commissioned in the next few months.
19. It is the first aircraft carrier designed and built in China, and it returned to the shipyard on Tuesday after spending 13 days off the northeast coast in the Yellow Sea – the longest trial so far, according to Chinese media reports.
20. The Type 001A, which has yet to be named, was believed to have carried out a range of complex tests during the latest trial, and Beijing-based military expert Li Jie said the testing was nearly finished.
21. It will have a full displacement of 70,000 tons and will be able to carry 32 J-15 fighter jets.


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22. The PLA-N continues to increase its open ocean power projection capabilities. I wonder how much of the technology is reengineering Western technology obtained by bribing US politicians like the Clintons and/or stolen outright by Chinese spies? Who knows? ///The end.
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