Politics also is a Science, something that can be studied.
Prospect of individual candidates and parties can be predicted with accuracy because it's a Science.
The leading candidates are Atiku and Buhari. The leading parties are PDP and APC.
3. Local Politics and perspectives
4. Party platform
5. Demographic strength
6. Individual Political strength
8. International Politics and perspectives
Like they say in politics, 24 hour is such a long time that can determine many things.
What are the Actions and Inactions that will eventually count for or against Buhari and Atiku this coming Saturday?
Actions & Inactions before election is usually calculated, once it goes as expected it favors you, once it works contrary sorry is the case in politics..RISKY
Without mincing words both International & Local media have been very bias & in support of PDP.
In the events of the past weeks, you must have seen narratives that tend to favor Atiku & how narratives on ANY issue is twisted to paint Atiku as a better alternative to PMB.
I have responded to individuals, fake News from different media where they deliberately sold out falsehood, allow such to gain ground then turned around to say "we are sorry"🤣🤣🤣
deliberately playing down on the gains of PMB administration. I have spoken about why I believe PMB is far better in a thread I tagged #PMBdeserves2ndTerm
The only problem you will be shocked to see on Saturday's election is that #PoliticsIsLocal and the effect of media is overestimated in Nigeria terrain.
This overHYPED mindset is what has been making some of you to think that your tweet as "influenzas" will determine how election will go on Saturday...#KnowYourLimit
What is the political base of Atiku and Buhari?
As far as I know, Atiku has no deep political base that can come close to that of Buhari.
Yet Buhari is the one labeled a tyrant despite allowing people to have their own way since 2015.
Say what you want to say, Buhari has never lost his BASE to any President in history & his political base has been consolidated in the South West, South East and South South.
PDP has its political base in 774 LGAs and APC has the same.
South West has all Governors from APC, while South East and South South are more of PDP.
Demography is relating to the structure of populations.
Demographically, The North usually has more population when it comes to real voting.
River State is very dicey because Amaechi will not allow his base to be rubbished and that played out when APC went to River State yesterday.
Need I say more about the political weight of Atiku and Buhari to you?
Buhari is a political movement any day any time that can start a political party 3 months to the election and still make a big statement.
On the platform of political strength, Buhari is way ahead of Atiku and this will count on Saturday.
You can check this election poll State by State:
If there is anything to thank PDP for this time around, it is the fact that Atiku being their candidate has neutralized some of the major sentiments during election in Nigeria.
Buhari is above 70, Atiku is above 70.
Buhari is Hausa Fulani, Atiku is more Hausa Fulani🤪🤪🤪
If PMB likes, let him build the entire South East as he is doing now, they won't like him🤣
In reality, as it's being played out since last week, the international politics and perspective are more in favor of Atiku and the reasons are obvious.
Buhari seems to call their bluff and face the Asia continent once they are not ready to bend their negotiation in favor of Nigeria.
The only shocker that is awaiting the International community is that Buhari will again prove to them the reality of #LocalPolitics on Saturday.
For me #iSpeakUpForBuhari
Be a responsible citizen by going out peacefully to vote, wait and ensure your vote count.
God Bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria.