, 17 tweets, 5 min read Read on Twitter
We are not ready for #nodeal. No one is ready. Whatever the outcome of the next two votes, we’re not ready for 29th.

Borders aren’t ready. Traders aren’t ready. Brokers aren’t ready. Gov certainly isn’t ready... longer one /1
Borders. We have TSPs for imports to the UK via roro ports– with traders needing to sign up. Minimum formalities at the border with supplementary declarations later. In practice no one knows how exactly will this work and whether it will actually help to speed things up /2
We have the French #customs system which relies on their IT working as well as traders pre-lodging customs declarations. Not been tested and again, not sure if it will work. Or even at which point VAT and other duties become due (guarantees ? etc). /3
We got details of NI border arrangements today…. With 16 days to go. Nothing tested, nothing fully explained. It’s not enough to describe a system in a video or one-pager. Proper guidance with all questions covered needed for traders/ brokers /4
It’s not even the solutions themselves - it’s the way they have been announced – late and with insufficient detail. Why full guidance wasn't published? Some meetings with brokers/business reps which lead to rumours of unsolved issues but no one really knows /5
And all this just on the #customs side. Smuggling, SPS, other checks will somehow follow…? I guess we will just find out from the first group of traders that successfully pass the border on each side? /6
Which brings me to traders. One thing was always clear- whether this works or not will depend greatly on whether businesses have time to prepare/implement. Yes, important for the Gov to come up with good arrangements but not at the cost of leaving busin. 16 days to prepare. /7
Customs arrangements can be changed. Worse option with more time to prepare would have been better than a great one with 16 days left. Lots of things to do internally, processes to implement. /8
And that is provided that you've already figured out what it means to import/export. Not even going to talk about SME’s and companies who’ve not traded before but thought things will just work themselves out /9

EORI- number identifying traders. HMRC's EORI letters went out last week I hear. Since you can’t have 2 EORI numbers at the same time all the companies who knew that they will need a new one were sitting waiting to find out how/when they can apply. /10

Tariffs. Whether or not it’s a good idea to liberalise all in one go (prob not) still important to give heads up. Even when 0% as they apply to all countries. Not all will be 0% and for import-competing ind 0% means a different competitive landscape /11

Brokers/hauliers. They will be responsible for managing all this. They will need to make this work in practice/on the ground. It was crucial to give them time to prepare/hire/expand. They should have been an integral part of all these decisions alongside traders. /12
They’ve all be hiring and upskilling but not easy to prepare ppl (esp if you need to hire ppl with little experience) when you don’t know what you’re preparing them for. I’m sure they will somehow make it work but not a fair position to put them in. /13
Again, uncertainty a key issue here. Last minute measures result in a massive financial/time/resources burden for the ppl that need to operate under these terms – traders and 3rd party providers. Not a great way to introduce UK traders to global Britain... /14
The Gov measures prepared in secrecy and with some/little engagement/consultations/analysis do not look thought through or deliberate (check out @AllieRenison on bus engagement). You can’t solve border problems but ignoring the fact you have a border and your obligations /15
I fully appreciate the diff of Gov’s work. Not questioning that! But this is not a responsible way to behave towards your own traders. They should not have had to go through the last 2.5 years of complete uncertainty - your global Britain plan depends on them/ 16
And I’m not even covering NI issue, aka UK’s two tariffs and how this invisible NI/ROI border impacts ROI/EU and NI/UK. That is a separate can of worms.
At this point if you want to go for #nodeal, that’s fine but maybe not on the 29th cause we're really not ready /ends
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