So why is @theresa_may so stuck on her lousy deal? Well she has 4 objectives and her deal meets these and nothing else does I believe this explains much about her conduct the objectives are as follows THREAD
1/keeping the tory party together and in power this of course is the top priority. Theresa may is aware that any other options be it dal no deal or some BRINO deal with Corbyn would instantly result in a walk out by one faction and with no majority the gov would fall
2/ May is actually terrified of no deal. All the evidence is that this lwould result in awful consequences for millions of people which would destroy any government that presided over it if she wanted no deal she would not have negotiated a deal 2 start with
3/ Theresa May is terrified of no #Brexit she would go down in history as the tory PM who failed to deliver the Tory #Brexit wet dream. For a lifelong conservative this is unthinkable
4/ by ending freedom of movement Theresa Mays #Brexit deal delivers on what has always been her abiding moral purpose in public life namely making life unpleasant for foreigners It is also the one thing she has to show for her deal accepting FOM renders brexit pointless
To get her deal passed Theresa May needs somehow to persuade the DUP and ERG plus maybe some labour Leave MPs to back her #Brexit deal.
To this end she first pulled the vote then went back to Brussels to attempt to get concessions and completely failed so got beaten by the biggest margin ever
She then went back to Brussels and attempted essentially to con parliament and the people into accepting the deal which backfired leading to 4th biggest government defeat ever #Brexit
So she simply intended to present it again but then of course Bercow blew it out of the water but undeterred she is trying again because there is nothing else that meets all HER objectives what changes are offered no one knows
So May went back to Brussels to ask for an extension but was so pathetic the EU heads of state sent out of the room and decided to give her another fortnight primarily so no one would blame them
If Theresa May revokes Article 50 or does a deal with Corbyn the ERG will bring her down. If she does no deal Amber Rudd Nick Bowles and others will walk away and bring her down and bring on a GE with a split tory party
But the truth is no one wants a deal. Remainers want no #Brexit Leavers want no deal because they recognise tacitly that any deal is inferior to membership. This means #Brexit is a failure from day one Dominic Raab & Dan Hannan have both said her deal is worse than staying in
Theresa May is finished which true but with a weapons grade caveat. she won't be PM much longer but she has to choose between no deal no #Brexit and BRINO which is the most important decision any prime minister has taken since WW2
Fundamentally this has been her choice since she lost her Majority in 2017 and the story of the last 2 years is Theresa May kicking this choice down the road hoping something would turn up because she could not make the choice without also triggering her own downfall
This at base is why she has lied evaded delayed shown contempt of parliament and banged her head against a brick walls at home and in Europe and refused utterly to compromise. The result of this cowardice is that she has brought her country to the brink of catastrophe #Brexit
Oh and updated Theresa may despite everybody telling her that her deal is kaput does the same thing again. Namely 3rd meaningful vote next week
today May has indicated she is not capable of taking the decision yet is also intent on preventing anyone else deciding for her because when that decision is made be it no deal no brexit or BRINO the result will be political chaos and possibly chaos in the country.
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