Will cover southern States followed by East, West and North.
DMK – 19 (32%)
Congress – 2 (7%)
VCK – 1 (1%)
ADMK – 9 (28%)
PMK – 3 (6%)
BJP – 2 (4%)
DMDK – 1 (3%)
AMMK – 2 (6%)
It doesn't appear to be a clean sweep by DMK front as predicted by many. ADMk front is also doing decent
AINRC 1 (59%)
Kerala forecast for 2019
UDF – 17 (45%)
LDF – 2 (21%)
BJP – 1 (23%)
BJP votes may cross Left for the 1st time in History of Kerala, which is facing a crisis of relevance across the country
TRS – 16 (47%)
MIM – 1 (4%)
Congress 0 (24%)
BJP 0 (14%)
YSRCP – 21 (44%)
TDP – 4 (38%)
JS 0 (8%)
BJP 0 (6%)
BJP has strong chances to win Vizag, where it narrowly trails as of now.
The results in Andhra may come a shocker. If BJP and JS ally, they may upset TDP equation even further.
BJP – 18 (45%)
JDS - 4 (11%)
Congress – 5 (33%)
Others 1 (1%)
The non synergistic alliance between JDS and Congress may actually be harming the 2 parties, than benefiting it. They may have won 11 seats had they contested together. JDS gains though
NDA – 37 (BJP 22, ADMK 9, PMK 3, DMDK 1, AINRC 1, Others 1)
UPA – 51 (Congress 20, DMK 19, JDS 4, IUML 3, KCM 2, CPM 2, VCK 1)
Others – 44 (YSRCP 21, TRS 16, TDP 4, AMMK 2, MIM 1)
Andaman to BJP, Lakshdweep to Congress.
Their political fortunes will burn and not just in Kerala.
They will fade into non existence soon.
BJP 2 (68%)
Congress 0 (6%)
Others 0 (26%)
BJP 8 (36%)
Congress 3 (27%)
AIUDF 1 (11%)
AGP 1 (6%)
BPF 1 (2.5%)
BJP 16 (24%)
JDU 14 (19%)
LJP 4 (5%)
RJD 4 (16%)
Congress 2 (8%)
UPA bows out to NDA arithmetic, despite local level anti incumbency. Friendly fight between RJD and allies may complicate things for the Green alliance.
BJP 8 (38.5%)
AJSU 1 (2.5%)
Congress 2 (20%)
JMM 2 (12%)
JVM 1 (5%)
It would have seemed that Mahagathbandhan was all poised to sweep all 14 weeks 2 months back. Cracks in the alliance and BJP's move to ally with AJSU helped BJP cruise.
Also expected friendly fights in Chatra and Godda.
I would give BJP 0 or 1 seats in January. Now things have changed dramatically.
BJP 2 (43%)
Meghalaya forecast for 2019
NPP 1 (42%)
Congress 1 (38%)
Mizoram forecast for 2019
MNF 1 (45%)
Nagaland forecast for 2019
NDPP 1 (53%)
Sikkim forecast for 2019
SDF 1 (57%)
Tripura forecast for 2019
BJP 2 (56%)
BJP 15 (44%)
BJD 6 (37%)
Modi wave seems to engulf Orissa in all certainty. Helped by 2 decades of BJD incumbency and organizational growth of BJP in last 3 years, BJP is all set to surprise everyone with a haul of 15 seats.
TMC 32 (42%)
BJP 8 (35%)
Congress 2 (7%)
CPM 0 (10%)
A shady candidate selection by BJP and chickening out of BJP top leadership has made dictatorial Mamta Banerjee a primal force and BJP lost out on winning atleast 15-20 seats in West Bengal.
NDA – 86 (BJP 61, JDU 14, LJP 4, AGP 1, BPF 1, AJSU 1, NPP 1, NDPP 1, MNF 1, SDF 1)
UPA – 18 (Congress 10, RJD 4, JMM 2, JVM 1, AIUDF 1)
Others – 38 (TMC 32, BJD 6)
Congress led UPA's sun all set to set in the East!
Congress 10 (45%)
BJP 1 (41%)
Aside Kerala, Chhattisgarh is the only state where Congress is expected to sweep & get in double digits. No anger against Modi but people are against Local BJP. NYAY scheme of Rahul Gandhi has impacted here the most.
BJP 1 (48%)
Daman & Diu forecast for 2019
BJP 1 (52%)
Goa forecast for 2019
BJP 2 (47%)
BJP 26 (59%)
Congress 0 (30%)
Congress is back to square one after a scare it posed during the peak of GST and drought anger, nevertheless BJP maintained 50% votes share even in its trough of Assembly 2017
BJP 25 (51%)
Congress 4 (40%)
Heavy anti incumbency against Kamalnath already. It is, as if a large section of voters who voted Congress, now feels guilt tripped for voting out Shivraj Chouhan and crying rivers.
Phenomenal for a politician!
This is true!
MP establishment is to BJP, what India establishment is to Congress.
Why else is Kamalnath forced to say in favour of Gauraksha, Hinduism, basically against Congress' extreme views.
People are angry with him for these reasons.
BJP 22 (32%)
Shiv Sena 15 (18%)
Congress 4 (16%)
NCP 6 (14%)
SSP 1 (1%)
UPA alliance may just breach the double digits mark. BJP strike rate remains significantly higher as compared to Sena.
BJP 24 (53%)
Congress 1 (36%)
'Congress Teri Khair nahi' is the sentiment in Rajasthan.
Default on salary payments of Government employees, anger against loan waiver hoax, and coming back of Rajputs to BJP fold seems to be undoing Congress
NDA – 117 (BJP 102, SS 15)
UPA – 26 (Congress 19, NCP 6, SSP 1)
BJP likely to dominate Congress in all seats where it would be facing off Congress directly. Congress problems far from over with Raga getting few believers
Not sure for how long blood thirsty Mulla Mamta Bannerjee would be allowed to feast on dead bodies of her rivals?
When will this spine chilling madness be put to end?
YSRCP 101 (44%)
TDP 52 (32%)
JS 18 (14%)
Congress 3 (4%)
BJP 1 (3%)
Jagan Reddy all set to be next CM.
TDP's 2 lakh offer may not be popular as it is the incumbent party and this may be passed as election Jumla
BJD 70 (42%)
BJP 65 (40%)
Congress 4 (6%)
Others 8 (12%)
Unlike Lok Sabha, where BJP is headed for sweep, split voting may result in a hung assembly post the Assembly elections, with BJD as the leader.
Chances of a BJD-Congress tie-up?
She took it personally. Interrupted many times. Got angry and When nothing went in her favor, she said she doesn't believe in surveys 😂😂😂
When model code of conduct is in force, why would IT officials raid Kamalnath and risk facing wrath of Congress when it comes back to power
UNLESS THEY BELIEVE 100% THAT CONGRESS IS NOT COMING TO POWER in any scenario
BJP 1 (44%)
No visible anti incumbency, against BJP. AAP moves from a close 3rd position in 2014 to a distant 3rd position despite sustained campaign by party's machinery. An alliance with Congress may change the scenario though.
BJP 7 (45%)
Congress 0 (25%)
AAP 0 (18%)
This forecast assumes no alliance between the 2 green parties. The story if Delhi is completed meltdown of AAP to 3rd and @ArvindKejriwal.
Perhaps the reason, why the anarchist leader is desperate for an alliance.
BJP would still win at least 5 seats comfortably
BJP 9 (50%)
Congress 1 (16%)
BJP expected to breach 50% voteshare mark in Haryana. If it happens, this will be huge and phenomenal achievement by ML Kattar, despite such criticism.
BJP 3 (45%)
Congress 1 (41%)
BJP may lose 1 seat in Himachal Pradesh but maintains the edge.
BJP 2 (32%)
Congress 1 (16%)
JKNC 2 (25%)
PDP 1 (20%)
Congress makes a comeback and PDP slips but its hawkish and pro terrorism stand keeps it relevant in the valley.
Congress 6 (38%)
SAD 6 (30%)
BJP 1 (11%)
AAP 0 (10%)
Captain Amrinder remains popular. However contrary to media projecting him as some sort of election machinary, he has started to face bits of anti incumbency.
Meltdown of AAP is also strengthening SAD
BJP 5 (56%)
Congress 0 (32%)
Yet another hilly sweep for BJP, expected this time around.
Truth is, Congress has completed 2 years
Truth is, rural areas are under distress
Truth is, Congress hopes for AAP alliance
Truth is Captain taking Pro India stand
Uttar Pradesh forecast for 2019
BJP 52 (44%)
AD 1 (1%)
NP 1 (0.5%)
SP 18 (21%)
BSP 5 (17%)
Congress 2 (9%)
Several stories coming out of the most crucial state of Uttar Pradesh from Balakot impact to Lackluster Piggy Vadra to losebandhan to new den of BJP.
1. Balakot airstrikes have made huge impact in UP, along with Haryana, Bihar and Rajasthan
2. Congress gamble to field Priyanka Vadra hasn't paid off and party is likely to win only 2 seats of Rae Bareilly and Saharanpur
3. Yogi is popular but needs to do a Lot more
4. Gathbandhan is transferring vote to each other, contrary to what a few experts claimed
5. However even their combined strength may not be enough, which means UP is the be BJP stronghold state with 3 likely bumper wins in a row
6. BJP may get more votes than 2014
NDA – 88 (BJP 80, SAD 6, AD 1, NP 1)
UPA – 14 (Congress 11, NC 2, PDP 1)
Others - 24 (SP 18, BSP 5, RLD 1)
BJP likely to dominate North as well
NDA 321 (BJP 265, SS 15, JDU 14, ADMK 9, LJP 4, PMK 3, DMDK 1, AINRC 1, AGP 1, BPF 1, AJSU 1, NPP 1, NPP 1, SDP 1, MNF 1 AD 1, NP 1)
UPA 109 (Congress 60, DMK 19, NCP 6, JDS 4, RJD 4, IUML+ 3 KC+2, CPM 2, JMM 2, NC 2, VCK 1, JVM 1, AIUDF 1, SSP 1, PDP 1)
Rest - 113
BJP very close to majority on its own.
Biggest reason is, BJP was way too proactive and clever in stitching alliances.
NDA would nearly get the same tally as it got in 2014 due to addition of many more allies. Game set for NDA IV government.
Jan 2004 - May 2004. NDA numbers kept sliding down in each subsequent survey and from 340 in Jan 2004 went to 230 in May.
2014 it was reverse, from 165 it went up to 330.
2019 is following 2014 pattern.
Kind if negativity that resulted in Rajasthan loss.
BJP DID build an ecosystem and it is showing via actions like these
There is a parallel eco system now
Net gain of 2-3%.
Source - CSDS survey, usually unreliable
Today Aurangzeb Akales is fulfilling that prophecy angering his father.
Tag all UP Yadavas you know who are rooting for BSP to this thread 😎
Tag any UP Cham** Dalits you know who are rooting for SP
So 2 seats from Gerala
Was 42 seats was worth the risk of maintaining Stateman image @narendramodi?
Should have imposed President's rule before the poll
1. BJP may lose 2-3 seats in UP
2. It may gain some votes/seats in Assam+Bihar
3. Gain HUGE chunks in Orissa & WB in that order
4. Maintain status quo elsewhere
5. Outside chances of an odd surprise here and there (AP, TG)
This would be the template all across.
My sense is 2-3% women who may have voted BJP.
This bigot is wife of a Congress senior member. She is trying to orchestrate Hindu-Muslim riots by spreading FAKE NEWS about some fictional murder.
WHERE IS ELECTION COMMISSION?
I think it is safe to predict that @narendramodi Government in the best tenure will decisively turn center right on these issues. And yeah Ram Mandir WILL be built by 2022 Feb
These Jokers don't understand that Russia lost a lot of India defence contacts to USA, France and Israel.
Hence Modi getting this award is phenomenal.
It means he acknowledged Modi as a strong leader.
BJP needs 10 more Suryas in major cities.
Surprisingly hardly any media, journalist, polling agency, expert talked about it. This followed by Ayushman Insurance and then Ujjwala.
There is NO CONTEST anymore.
This election has been nationalized and people are not looking for local factors and candidates (as bigoted journalists would have wanted them to) and straightaway voting for or against @narendramodi
Just as I said there was no upper limit in UP 2017
Voters have never been so excited. It is as if they consider it their fundamental uty to bring back @narendramodi to power.
Evident from opposition body language.
In 2014, Congress still gave some fight via its insidious campaigns.
He is a 3rd rate Dalal.
During UP 2017 Assembly this Lutyens butt kisser said there is heavy anti incumbency against BJP MPs but no incumbency against SP MLAs.
If you take his reporting at face value, Raga help you
Please don't tag me in cheap, theories like Chirag Paswan is losing and all.
Bihar is a one sided contest.
NDA tally from Tamil Nadu, especially BJP tally will surprise all those who are saying DMK will win 35+ seats
So from now on my job is to also counter fake news written by journalists who have already been caught in passing pictures of Syrians murdered by ISIS as Muslim men killed by Indian Army in Kashmir, spreading fictional news like Dadri, Padri etc.
So Modi is NOT just winning maximum upto 220 as you said. He is winning much more and will be a PM again.
Your favorite politician Chandra Babu Naidu will not even become CM, let alone PM.
I asked her to stop Day Dreaming as Elections in Mumbai North East are on 29 April.
Guy needs to be groomed well for the great war of 2024.
You should have seen their ground report from Ayodhya.
Line see several Muslims said that they will be for BJP mainly due to Housing Yojna and Ujjwala Yojna 😂😂😂
Open challenge to your Bosses.
Channel and time if your choosing.
Even NDTV is acceptable.
Say Yes if you and your boss have guts
Easily 14-15 from TN plus 1 from Punducherry.
NDA arithmetic as per 2014 is well over 50%.
TTV and Kamal Hassan cancel each other out as vote cutters of NDA & UPA.
I have anyways pegged BJP at 12/29 on West UP. Anything more than that is a bonus.
It is the East UP, I am bullish about.
MINIMUM 30 from East out of 38
1. Vote transfer between SP-BSP is very smooth contrary to claims of Twitter Pundits
2. BJP headed for 45% and alliance 43% so BJP gets 50+
3. More than 50% non C Dalits with BJP
4. A tiny section of Muslims has defected to BJP
1. Karnataka Grand alliance has spectacularly failed, not due to JDS cadres but Congress cadres supporting BJP
2. Despite TMC Gundas and heavy rigging, BJP lead high enough to win 4/5
3. TN, NDA will win in double digits
4. Bihar BJP racing, JDU lags
Impact of Balakot airstrikes in Haryana, Rajasthan, UP, Bihar is highly underestimated.
Impact of PM Housing Yojna in UP, Orissa is highly underestimated.
Both will show vengeance on 23 May 2019.
1. BJP is organizationally much stronger
2. Amplification of mahaul much faster due to various forms of media and viral media
3. BJP has twice the number of allies this time.
The elite urban has drifted away from BJP due to this move.
Sadhvi Prajna sound narrate her victimhood & torture and how Congress conspired to declare Hindus terrorists in Malegaon and 26/11 instead of giving aggressive statements .
Add to it, BJD youth's gundagardi, Modi's rise and his socialist schemes. BJD will be routed in Lok Sabha while salvage some pride in Assembly due to Nabin image.
Sadhvi Prajna was best suited to expose Anti Hindu bigotry of Sonia-Chitambram-Digvijay.
Instead she is showing herself as aggressive by boasting that she razed Babri.
Chowkidar chor hai!
Indian Army Jhoothi Hai!
Hindu Bhakt terrorists hai!
@RahulGandhi's new desperate attempt at promoting NYAY scheme in Posh PVR malls.
Yeah you got the target audience thought there!
These mall goers will vote you.
This sort of street fighting between JDS and Congress in Old Mysore and region. So when you heard Modi-Modi chants in HD Kumaraswamy rallies where BJP was weak, it was Congress workers who chanted it as they couldn't digest JDS CM
He said and he stressed on the word MINIMUM 20.
He says Mamta is shit scared after CRPF will man the booths.
Very clear now
IMO BJP should have been the natural choice for him.
Also don't know why BJP would not induct him and give him ticket. They need people from all diverse places.
But I must admit Congress list is much more impressive. BJP only GG, ML and maybe PV decent. Others are losers. Should have got fresh candidates
Also expect rabid d*g @ArvindKejriwal's party of sadakchhap Gundas and rap**ts will sink even further and will lose deposits in ATLEAST 6 seats.
This disease called AAP will be over.
Subtle and dangerous message by Tipu:
We won't tolerate this loss and will commit to arson and riots as our gundagardi was kept in check by Yogi.
Kahin single digits me na as Jaye ye paagal.
But that would be an awesome thing to happen to this unstable, corrupt, extremist lunatic.
Not 23 or 24
But 26 out of 26.
Even in past when Modi was CM, they gave 2/3rd majority in Assembly and simple majority in Lok Sabha.
Now Modi is PM, it would be opposite.
Clean sweep in Lok Sabha.
Not that BJP has done/will do bad in Uttar Pradesh. They will end up with majority of seats but do see on 23 May, other areas which hostile media ignored
This is what he says for Lok Sabha 2019
Now look at the candidates selection by NDA in Punjab
4 strong candidates already plus rural distress plus AAP meltdown helping SAD.
Truth is Modi doesn't want to offer any seat, any state on platter.
Media Barbie's misled into believing that UP was the one and only battleground
Mulla-Pindi-Clergy forced an asynnergic alliance, gave immense highlight to Pappuni to cut BJP UC votes.
They are literally crying rivers, getting exasperated, abusing their own paymasters for leaving these brokers in lunch.
Never seen such an implosion, not even in 2014.
I think the wave just got bigger.
Usually it uses to be 325-330 for the past few Elections.
This is due to growth of BJP in states of West Bengal, Orissa and Tripura where BJP growth is not at the expense of Congress.
See this video on Hindu History of Kashmir and subscribe their YouTube channel so that he gets more subscribers than pig's excreta Dhruv Tattee.
Another fake article, attributing a fictional work as reality.
NOWHERE does Sjrjit Bhalla mention that Congress will win 97.
He isn't said the number will be far lower than 97.
However see his pre 2014 bytes, he appears as vole, abusive and hateful as any average Congressiya.
Since 2014, it was all a propaganda to cut through the Nationalist votes.
All of them saying surprise Modi wave, especially in UP
This time the Pro Modi voters are NOT vocal and are rather more cautious due to 2004 redux.
On the contrary, Anti Modi voters are vocal, thumping, arrogant and chest beating.
I sense a much BIGGER silent Modi wave than 2014.
PM Modi called Akales' bluff of backroom deal with Congress.
It seems Dalit voters have deserted SP-BSP big time and they want to get even the Ch*** Dalits into the BJP good for the next 3 phases.
Roadshow of popular MP Nishikant Dubey, who is facing the of the most difficult fight as internal sabotage from BJP rebel from my caste, heavy ganging of 4 party Mahagathbandhan and yet he will prevail just like Modi