I took a look at the state-level subsidy implied by the Warren plan for free tuition: willdoyle.us/files/2019-04-… 1/6
Bottom line: A few states–Vermont, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Michigan— will receive in excess of $6,000 per student, while several large states– Texas, California, Florida– will get less than half that. 2/6
Any plan that guarantees free tuition at public colleges has to grapple with two issues: 3/6
First, if the free tuition plan provides a blanket guarantee without requiring states to equalize their investments, it will end up rewarding states that have done a pretty bad job at making college affordable. 4/6
Second, state leaders will almost certainly lower their spending on higher education in order to gain more federal dollars, unless the free tuition plan requires that they spend at a certain level. 5/6
The Warren free tuition plan contains what appears to be a “maintenance of effort” provision, but it’s not clear how effort would be defined, or how maintenance would be enforced. 6/6
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3/ Second, I did NOT include required fees in the calculation of median tuition! The updated number is $4,653, the average of WV and OK. Thanks to (you guessed it) @LadermanSophia and @kelsey_kunkle and @david_socolow for this correction as well.
1/ The Biden plan for free community college represents a huge change in how the federal government funds higher education.
2/ For the first time, the federal government will directly fund states to cover the full cost of tuition for students, using a large scale federal-state matching plan that is similar in some ways to how the federal government funds health care or transportation.
3/ Over the last few days I’ve been trying to answer the following questions:
Which institutions in each state will be eligible? How much will the plan provide? How much will states have to pay? What will be the effective subsidy among all college students by state?
The full impact of downturns in the economy take some time to reach higher education. Without action by the federal government to assist states, higher education in most states is facing severe cuts, likely to be larger than those incurred during the Great Recession. 1/N
There is time to act, but the window is closing. State policymakers and higher education leaders are planning now for budget cuts that will reduce student access. 2/N
Why do I think this? I spent the last few days reading state budget guidance documents for Fiscal 2022.
We're working on this in a really different way-- inspired by @drob's talk on "Unreasonable effectiveness of public work" (tinyurl.com/ugggdkv) we're posting everything that we do publicly on github. 2/n
Please feel free to comment and suggest improvements or changes! We're working in #rstats, using the #tidyverse as the basis for much of the work. 3/n
I'm happy to share the news that I've been promoted to full professor.
I've been thinking a lot about how lucky I’ve been to work with so many great people. A partial list follows:
I’m deeply grateful to Pat Callan and Joni Finney for getting me started in this work and providing me with an example of how to be a passionate advocate for increased opportunity for higher education.