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Staedtler Profile picture
@Staedtler
May 27, 2019 • 5 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Got my analysis, and it's looking good.
Brexit party is just a UKIP rebrand, and their vote was just a swap from one to the other.

UKIP lost all their seats, and Brexit won them all.
It's almost one for one, what UKIP lost, Brexit won.
The big story - because it pleases me - is that 20 seats were lost from Labour and Tories and went to Remain.
Conclusions.

The Tories are going to be decimated at the next election, torn apart by Brexit on one side, and Lib Dems on the other, unless they do something drastic.
The only thing the Tories can do to save themselves now is offer a second referendum.
If the Tories don't try for a second referendum, they're going to be out of government, Labour and the SNP will get in, and there will be no United Kingdom left by the time the Tories ever get back in government again.
And that's why I said three years ago that eventually the Tories would be forced to abandon Brexit, and offer a new referendum to that effect.
Which I have a feeling is about to be vindicated.

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More from @Staedtler

Staedtler Profile picture
Jun 14, 2022
Okay. What is THE big problem of Brexit? What has been the one big problem all along?

Racism. And that's the thing the English don't want to face.
But you will face it with me. Why did people vote for Brexit? You know what the answer is. They wanted to stop immigration.
The far right and the far left have been stirring that up for years.
There's no point having any conversation about Brexit without acknowledging the racism behind it. People voted for it because they wanted to keep foreigners out.
Read 17 tweets
Staedtler Profile picture
May 8, 2022
"Issues over the protocol" as English newsmen call it is actually one issue - the Irish border. And the issue is not what kind of border but only the location of it.
My goldfish understands this by now. You can't put a border in Ireland, so it has to go in the sea. But Johnson can't survive that even though he's already agreed to it.
Botty Johnson is a spoilt child. There are two choices in front of him, he won't accept either and expects the world to present him with another, like the whole planet is his nanny.
Read 6 tweets
Staedtler Profile picture
May 7, 2022
With Sinn Fein the largest party in Stormont, the SNP by far the largest in Holyrood and promising to hold the balance in a Westminster hung parliament, the cracks are showing right through the United Kingdom.
I never did think the United Kingdom would survive Brexit. it certainly won't survive Botty Johnson. He is an ignoramus. he has no idea how to govern anything.
The Northern Ireland elections have only emphasised what was impossible anyway. there is no viable place to put an Irish border.
Read 19 tweets
Staedtler Profile picture
May 6, 2022
English news is obsessed with trivia and parliament is drowning in cowardice.
ENGLISHMEN - You have voted for something your government cannot accomplish.
ENGLISHMEN - Neither of your two main parties are capable of governing the country because of you.
ENGLISHMEN - Brexit was never possible. It must always destroy your country. The only way to stop that is to not do it at all.
Read 6 tweets
Staedtler Profile picture
May 6, 2022
During the 1990s the Tories had a choice of going two ways. They could either become a more centrist party hoping to win broad support across the whole United Kingdom.
Or retreat into pure English nationalism.
They chose the extreme because it was cheap and easy. They needed a Neil Kinnock, but they didn't have one. A succession of weak leaders left them captive to their far right.
With the result that the Tories are incapable of governing the country. All the backbench loonies are now in government.
They've wrecked the economy and very likely destroyed the United Kingdom itself.
Read 4 tweets
Staedtler Profile picture
May 6, 2022
English parochialism
The point is there is more to Britain than England, but you would never know it from English news.
Where does Scotland figure in the thinking of English news? And the answer is that it doesn't.
Why are the English obsessed with the idea that elections are between Labour and the Tories?
Read 24 tweets

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