, 5 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
THREAD: UK politics often mirrors US politics in ideological trends: UK Labour's win after WW2 followed the USA FDR/LBJ majority; the rise of UK's Thatcher foreshadowed the rise of Reagan; the rise of Clinton forecast the rise of UK's Blair; & success of Brexit forecast Trump. 1/
What does UK forecast for USA? First, a Trump-less GOP is a dead GOP, just as the Tories discover with the implosion of support fleeing for the Trump-ish Brexit Party. Second, a Trump-led GOP is the most powerful political force afoot, as a Brexit-inspiried Tory party was. 2/
Third, Corbyn's rise in Labour paralleled the rise of Bernie-ism in the Democratic party here, just as the death of Blairism foreshadowed the demise of Clintonism in the US. The #2020 Dem nominee contestants almost all steal from Bernie's #2016 platform, not Hillary's. 3/
Labour, like Pelosi's Dems, cannot unite its four conflicting constituencies: upscale professional class, millennial leftists, old working class & minority/migrant constituencies. Hence, it bleeds working class to Brexit, upscale to Lib Dems, & millennial/minorities to Greens. 4/
Final clue: whichever party best incorporates its populist base has the best chance of sustained success. Trump achieved that masterfully in US, w/ Ryan-ite Republicanism failing the party in the House in 2018. W/o Trump-ish solutions, expect more UK-style splintering & chaos. 5/
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Robert Barnes
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!