, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
1) Was researching something in "How Trump Won" and was reminded of this vis-a-vis recent polling showing Trump "losing":

*Forgetting for a moment that NO major pollster other than @PPDNews @Peoples_Pundit correctly called the election (and even Baris did not believe . . .
1) contd. . . . his own polling showing Trump winning WI, . . .

2) The RCP AVERAGE was off by 1.9 points (having Cankles winning by 3.2 points)

4) Monmouth missed the final result by 4.7 points

5) Here are the other final predictions:
*Bloomberg: Cankles +3
5) contd
*Economist/Youguv: Cankles +4
*ABC/WaCompost: Cankles +3
*NBC/WSJ: Cankles +5 (!)
*CBS: Cankles +4
*Reuters/Ipsos: Cankles +5 (!)
*Monmouth: Cankles +6 (!!!!!)
*Fox: Cankls +4

6) Final "no toss ups" at RCP was Cankles 272-266, but their general election polling was diff
7) A look at state polling showed even more #EpicFail :

*RCP had Cankles winning FL by 3.2, NH by 3.2, PA by 1.9, MI by 3.4 and WI by 6.5% (!)
*Of the last four FL polls, only Tafalar had Trump up (4); Quinnipiac, Gravis, Opinion Savvy had Cankles up 1, 1, and 2.
7) contd:
*Quinnipiac and Gravis both had Cankles up in NC, which Trump also won.
*Christopher Newport (VA), the last poll done, had Cankles winning VA by 6 (fina: 4.9)
*In OH Emerson, considered an outlier, had Trump +7. Without Emerson, RCP average had Trump up 2.3 (he won 8.6)
*In MI RCP had Cankles +3.4 (Trump won by .3) and without another "outlier" (Trafalgar), the final RCP in MI was Cankles 4.75, meaning the AVERAGE error in MI (without Trafalgar) was almost FIVE POINTS.
*In WI, by far the worst, RCP average was Cankles +6.5 and a REPUBLICAN firm
. . . Remington---had Cankles up 9 points, a whopping 10 point final error.
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