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Your best decisions can give you your worst results.
Your worst decisions can give you your best results.
Refining your process is more important than both decisions and results.
I don't know is not a failure but a necessary step towards enlightenment.
A great decision is not one with a great outcome, but one that accurately represents our current state of knowledge.
Embrace uncertainty, focus more on how unsure you are and the various outcomes that will result because of that, than how sure you are and the one outcome you think will.
Binaries with no grey areas limit our ability to make good choices, because they put us at odds with reality instead of allowing us to leverage reality as a resource.
Think in advance about alternative outcomes. Decisions based on one of them doesn't make you wrong when it doesn't work out, it simply means one of several possible outcomes occurred.
Adverse results alone are not proof you made the wrong decision, they are proof you were more right (or less wrong) based how complete our knowledge was and where it plotted is on a continuum between right and wrong.
Even so there is still hidden information. Call it luck, call it chance, call it an act of God, there will always be externalities that can shape your outcome. Understanding this allows you to let go of the anguish related to being "wrong" but also the joy of being "right."
The world is structured to provide ample opportunities to feel bad about being wrong. Losses feel 2x as bad as wins. That means 2 wins for every loss just to feel good. Instead embrace uncertainty, manage your resources, and reclaim your sanity.
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