1. A few thoughts on the damaging normalisation of No Deal. To start with there is no mandate for No Deal from the 2016 referendum. The Leave campaign never argued for No Deal. It said it would get a deal.
2. There is no doubt that No Deal would be the most damaging outcome for the economy. Have a look at the most recent @CommonsEUexit evidence sessions here parliament.uk/business/commi…
3. I am genuinely puzzled why those who don’t make things and don’t trade with the EU for a living appear to know better than those who do what effect No Deal would have on these businesses.
4. I am also puzzled by those who say they are prepared to pursue this damaging course of action and then announce that they will compensate some businesses for the cost of the tariffs they will face (so confirming that No Deal is indeed damaging to business).
5. No Deal is not in the national economic interest and must be rejected. And with Parliament deadlocked, the best way forward would be to put the real choice - leave with the deal that has actually been negotiated or remain - to the British people.
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1. As I arrived back at St Pancras International this evening having travelled under the Channel, I was greeted by a sign informing anyone who has been trafficked to tell someone so they can get help.
2. But the Government is now telling us that someone who has been trafficked who makes that exact same journey in a small boat will be denied help, detained and deported to Rwanda.
1. The agreement on the Northern Ireland Protocol that we expect to see unveiled today will rightly be pored over to understand the details. It matters a great deal for four reasons.
2. First, because the long stand-off has brought power sharing in Northern Ireland to a halt and has damaged the UK’s relationship with the EU. This is a bad place for us to find ourselves in.
3. Second, unilateral action - the UK’s Northern Ireland Protocol Bill and EU Commission legal proceedings against the UK - was never going to solve this. Both should be dropped once an agreement is reached.
1. So, on the third anniversary of leaving the EU, how is Brexit going? A thread.
2. It was hard at first to disentangle the impact on the economy of Covid as opposed to Brexit. But now things are much clearer. Leaving the EU has been bad for the economy and bad for trade. British businesses exporting to the EU now face new costs, paperwork and red tape.
3. SMEs have been particularly affected. According to HMRC, the total number of UK businesses exporting goods to the EU fell by a truly astonishing 33 per cent between 2020 and 2021. In the main these were small businesses that gave up in the face of all the new Brexit red tape.
1. A few thoughts on the Northern Ireland Protocol.
2. It was always clear that the UK leaving the EU would create a problem in Ireland, but the one thing that everyone agreed on was that there could be no return to a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic.
3. It was also clear that there were two ways of ensuring this - either try and keep the whole of the UK in effect in the single market (Theresa May’s plan) or keep Northern Ireland alone in the single market and do checks, where necessary, in the Irish Sea.
1. After the Brexit deal was signed, Boris Johnson infamously claimed that there would be "no non-tariff barriers" on trade with the EU. It wasn’t true.
2. In recent weeks we have seen more and more evidence of the adverse impact that the UK’s new trading relationship with the EU is having on British businesses and exports.
3. The Public Accounts Committee has found that “UK businesses face additional administration and cost when trading with the EU.”
1.Not only has the Prime Minister broken his word that HS2 East and Northern Powerhouse Rail would be built in full, but the more I read of the Integrated Rail Plan, the less integrated it appears.
2. Ministers say “the full HS2 and Northern Powerhouse Rail schemes as originally proposed would not enter service until the early to mid-2040s” as if this was somehow a justification for scrapping them. This was meant to be an investment for 100 years or more.
3. While there will be a high speed line from Birmingham to East Midlands Parkway, despite some of the briefing I can find no sign of firm plans for the line between Leeds and Sheffield. In any event, that still leaves a great big hole in the middle of where HS2 East used to be.