Thread by @meejahoar

Gonna try an experiment: to be very Pollyanna-ish and reframe every Brexit story positively. So:

London’s construction industry should have plenty of workers if we stay in the EU. 1/

https://twitter.com/juliehinukeu/status/1148986894384058373

Macquarie Bank’s proposed purchase of Barchester Healthcare might go thru if we stay in the EU. ft.com/content/4b58ac… 2/

The UK might avoid a recession if we stay in the EU ft.com/content/2e8ae1… /3

How’m I doing so far?!? ❤️🇬🇧💙🇪🇺💛

Farmers will be massively better off if we stay in the EU. yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/opinion/c… /4

UK economy would likely pick up so we could avoid recession if we stay in the EU ("UK activity growth has fallen to minus 0.8%, compared with plus 1.0% as recently as mid May... two Brexit-related developments have hit UK industry particularly hard") ft.com/content/2e8ae1… /5

House prices will be kept from falling by a third if we stay in the EU. metro.co.uk/2018/08/03/ban… /5

Britain could be un-humbled in the international arena (as we were "after Donald Trump pushes out its ambassador" making Brexiteers’ "promise of Global Britain look forlorn") and could regain the trust of our civil servants economist.com/britain/2019/0… /6

The UK could go back to being a functioning rather than a failed state if we stay in the EU: thenational.scot/news/17765369.… /7

We could save "many thousands" of jobs if we stay in the EU, according to UK business secretary Greg Clark: independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi… #WhatHasTheEUDoneForMeLately /8

We could remain a serious country and say hello to Britain as we know it: "Brexit means goodbye to Britain as we know it. What is happening now is not worthy of a serious country" ft.com/content/de6e2b… /9

We could ensure the UK’s continued food security, and avoid the government wasting their time and our money stockpiling processed food, if we stay in the EU scotsman.com/news-2-15012/u… (Struggling a little to make this one into a positive... but got there eventually.)

10/

We could protect the peace process in Ireland from “an absolutely detrimental impact” and prevent Brexit from “creat[ing] a vacuum and a rally call for recruiting dissident republicans”, if we stay in the EU. rte.ie/news/brexit/20… /11

If we stay in the EU, we could continue to have control over our own borders and save the Treasury up to £90bn. “...many of the levers are held by others – the EU 27 or private business. We can seek to persuade them but we can't control [Brexit].” bbc.com/news/uk-489787… /12

If we stay in the EU, we could negotiate trade deals fr a position of strength not of weakness. “the next prime minister’s hopes of a post-Brexit trade deal with the US States rest on” willingness to fall in line with tough US policies against Huawei telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/… /13

We could rely on the highly experienced multinational EU trade negotiation team rather than hiring a new crop of inexperienced domestic ones, if we stay in the EU. bbc.com/news/education… /14

We could avoid one economic sector being held hostage to another in a trade war if we stay in the EU. See 4x what's happening to Canadian pork & beef farmers being "skewered in Huawei dispute" & "caught in the middle of a diplomatic battle with China" ft.com/content/dde968… /15

See also

https://twitter.com/IanDunt/status/1151045724324487169?s=20

/14.1

See also more yucky things we can avoid at the Irish border by staying in the EU: smuggling; animals being culled; people going out of business; border patrol officers and staff becoming a target for dissident republicans. irishnews.com/news/brexit/20… /11.1

If we stay in EU, we – by whom I mean the whole of the British polity, but particularly we who are so-privileged Remainers – could do so, so much better at rectifying the effects of laissez-faire, trickle down, GFC, austerity etc in the rest of the UK ft.com/content/89bff8… /16

If we stay in the EU, it would strengthen our currency. At the moment... "The pound is at its weakest ever for this time of year and if seasonality is any guide, it could get even worse in August." bloomberg.com/news/articles/… /17

If we stay in the EU, we could protect household incomes from the damage of the Brexit vote + austerity – typical household incomes fell by 0.5% over the past 2 years, says annual Living Standards Audit by the Resolution Foundation independent.co.uk/news/business/… (thx @pimlicat) /18

If we stay in the EU, we should see house prices – now falling at the fastest rate in a decade in London – recover. news.sky.com/story/london-h… (thx @pimlicat) /19

If we stay in the EU, we should reverse worrying trend: LSE research found Brexit ref. resulted in new investments made by UK firms into EU27 countries increasing by 12% & new EU27 investments into the UK reducing by 11% – £3.5 BILLION investment lost cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/… /20

If we stay in the EU, all this other cool shit will get funded! As @sturdyAlex said in recent @RemainiacsCast, how long will the Tory Brexit warchest last? Maybe a year? Thanks @pimlicat and @howardlake

https://twitter.com/howardlake/status/1151459010861776896?s=21

/21

@sturdyAlex @RemainiacsCast @pimlicat @howardlake If we stay in the EU, we'd avoid the future envisaged by @OBR_UK: No Deal will trigger a year-long recession, 10% instant drop in the £, 25% rise in unemployment & £30bn p.a., £576m/wk deficit in public finances far less than saving on EU fees

https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1151785525923201025?s=20

and... /22.1

...so "Leaving w/o a deal is dangerous – don't be misled", says @PippaCrerar on the basis of the OBR forecasts

https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1151790930820771840?s=20

and... /22.2

...NB the OBR has "...taken the IMF’s relatively benign No Deal numbers – and projected detailed fiscal numbers from that", says @faisalislam. OBR chairman Robert Chote reiterated to him that this "isn’t worse case scenario".

https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1151797651475709952?s=20

/22.3

If we stay in the EU we might be able to afford to holiday in other member states. “Tourists... that buy euros at the airport can expect to receive around 98 euro cents for their pound.” Ouch.

bbc.com/news/business-… /23

If we stay in the EU, we can keep talented, experienced civil servants in their jobs, rather than see them resigning in droves for being asked to deliver the undeliverable.

https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1152293446637563904?s=20

Thanks @fascinatorfun /24

If we stay in the EU, we could continue to benefit from shared EU security programmes such as the joint cyber security meeting held today – to which the UK wasn’t invited – and we could be significant and relevant rather than diminished or irrelevant.

https://twitter.com/stuartbudd1/status/1152540772392157187?s=21

/25

We could protect the £ fr reaching parity w/ the $ if we remain. Pound trading below $1.25, down from nearly $1.50 before Brexit ref. Experts predict Johnson's election & Oct. deadline will "continue to push sterling toward $1.20, and possibly lower". edition.cnn.com/2019/07/23/inv… /26

We could prevent the world economy going into recession. "A no-deal Brexit ranks alongside US trade policy as one of the chief threats to the world economy, according to the IMF’s latest assessment of the outlook for global growth." ft.com/content/6cd705… /27