NEW: We polled the #BreconandRadnorshire by-election:
LD 43 (+14)
CON 28 (-21)
BXP 20 (+20)
LAB 8 (-10)
MRLP 1 (+1)
UKIP 1 (=)
Fieldwork 10th-18th (changes on 2017 result)
ncpolitics.uk/2019/07/advant…
LD 43 (+14)
CON 28 (-21)
BXP 20 (+20)
LAB 8 (-10)
MRLP 1 (+1)
UKIP 1 (=)
Fieldwork 10th-18th (changes on 2017 result)
ncpolitics.uk/2019/07/advant…
This represents a 17% swing from the Conservatives to the Lib Dems since 2017. Respondents were prompted with the names of all six candidates and parties on the ballot paper. 
The polling was conducted online using a modified version of Number Cruncher’s national polling methodology. A technical note describing the methodology is available on the website.
ncpolitics.uk/2019/07/pollin…
ncpolitics.uk/2019/07/pollin…
As a sample check, respondents were asked how they said they voted in May’s European Parliament elections, and the pattern of their responses closely matched estimates of the local result:
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