Nick Gutteridge Profile picture
Jul 22, 2019 4 tweets 1 min read Read on X
Working assumption in Brussels has been Boris doesn't really mean what he says. But increasingly EU officials who have been watching his campaign believe he's boxed himself in so tightly there's no way out. One now puts the chance of an 'accident' at 80%. thesun.co.uk/news/brexit/95…
On the backstop they are especially despondent: 'Even possibilities whereby you could think OK the Europeans have not accepted this, may not accept it but you never know before the abyss, even those things he is closing them down which makes it really hard to create an opening.'
What possibilities, you ask? 'He ruled out a time limit. He ruled out a unilateral exit clause. He ruled out codicils further interpreting Alternative Arrangements. He has ruled out a lot of things. Even the things that were not on offer he has ruled them out, so what’s left?'
'The ray of hope is he can’t mean this, plus his reputation he can make U-turns and get away with it. Truthfulness and coherence is not his hallmark.' But this hope is vanishing: 'The problem is he's whipped up the ERG and his party. How do you put the genie back in the bottle?'

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More from @nickgutteridge

Jul 6, 2022
Former Health Secretary Sajid Javid is giving a resignation speech to a silent Commons chamber: 'I am instinctively a team player. But treading the tightrope between loyalty and integrity has become impossible in recent months and I will never risk losing my integrity...
...A team is as good as its team captain and a captain is as good as his or her team. So loyalty must go both ways. The events of recent months have made it increasingly difficult to be in that team...
...It’s not fair on ministerial colleagues to go out every morning defending lines that don’t stand up and don’t hold up. It’s not fair on my parliamentary colleagues who bear the brunt of constituents’ dismay in their inboxes and on their doorsteps in recent elections...
Read 6 tweets
Jul 6, 2022
Tory MP Tim Loughton asks the PM under which circumstances he'd resign. He replies he'd do so if 'I felt it was impossible for the Govt to go on and discharge the mandate we’ve been given or we were being frustrated in our desire to help the Ukrainian people or some major point.'
The PM continues: 'The job of the Prime Minister in difficult circumstances, when you’ve been handed a colossal mandate, is to keep going and that’s what I’m going to do.'
Tory MP Gary Sambrook, the joint secretary of the 1922 committee, says to the PM that there is 'nothing left for him to do other than to take responsibility and resign'. Mr Johnson replies that 'we’re going to get on, deliver our mandate and win another general election.'
Read 4 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
'The Protocol isn’t set in stone,' Foreign Secretary Liz Truss tells the Commons as she opens the second reading of the Northern Ireland Protocol Bill. She adds: 'In the absence of the EU being willing to change the text, the only way to resolve this is for us to legislate.'
Truss tells MPs: 'I know there are those across the House who want to give negotiation more time. We’ve been negotiating for 18 months. We have a negotiating partner who is refusing to change the text of the Protocol, meanwhile we have a worsening situation in Northern Ireland.’
Liz Truss says: 'There is no need for the EU to react negatively. They will be no worse off as a result of this legislation. These issues are very small in the context of the Single Market, but they are critically important for Northern Ireland.' (The EU has reacted negatively).
Read 7 tweets
Mar 1, 2022
EU Commission boss Ursula von der Leyen: 'We've closed our skies to Russian aircraft, including the private jets of oligarchs. And make no mistake, we will freeze their other assets as well. Be it yachts or fancy cars or luxury properties, we'll freeze that all together.'
Ursula von der Leyen: 'More than 30 countries representing well over half of the world's economy have announced sanctions and export controls on Russia. If Putin was seeking to divide the EU, weaken NATO and break the international community he has achieved exactly the opposite.'
VDL: 'We simply cannot rely so much on a supplier that explicitly threatens us. We have to accelerate the green transition. Every kWh of electricity Europe generates [from renewables] reduces our dependency on Russian gas. [That] means less money for the Kremlin's war chest.'
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15, 2022
NATO's Stoltenberg: 'So far we haven't seen any deescalation, any signs of reduced Russian military presence on the borders with Ukraine'. Adds: 'The signs coming from Moscow about a willingness to continue to engage in diplomatic efforts gives some reason for cautious optimism.'
Stoltenberg says only a 'significant and enduring withdrawal of troops and heavy equipment' from the Ukraine border would constitute genuine deescalation. He stresses troops can be moved around quite quickly, meaning they can be withdrawn then redeployed within a matter of days.
Stoltenberg says even if Russia withdraws all forces there will be 'long term consequences' and a 'deterioration' of the security situation due to its build up of troops and 'threatening rhetoric'. Adds NATO will review long-term strategy in alliance members on its eastern flank.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 10, 2022
PM and NATO chief speaking here in Brussels. Jens Stoltenberg says it’s a ‘dangerous time for European security’. He says at the Ukraine border ‘the number of Russian forces is going up, the warning time for an attack is going down.’ He warns: ‘We must be prepared for the worst.’
Boris Johnson says: ‘The UK’s commitment to European security is unconditional and immovable. The stakes are very high and this is a very dangerous moment. At stake are the rules that protect every nation, big and small.’
Asked it Putin wants war, PM adds: ‘I honestly don’t think a decision has yet been taken. That doesn’t mean it’s impossible something absolutely disastrous could happen very soon. Our intelligence remains grim.’ Says it’s the ‘biggest security crisis Europe has faced in decades’.
Read 4 tweets

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