Aaron Mc Nicholas Profile picture
Aug 12, 2019 3 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Last night, I said it was unclear whether the voices of escalation would persist. Now it seems foolish that I even suggested otherwise

These posters produced overnight show that the anger over a woman losing the use of her eye will fuel the escalation of the #antiELAB movement ImageImageImageImage
This was never a happy, optimistic movement like the first week of #OccupyHK. The phrase “if we burn, you burn with us” was on the protest banners this time as early as June

But it’s now more clear than ever that the triad attack on July 21 was indeed a point of no return
On that date, I speculated that meeting the five protester demands wouldn’t even be enough to stop this downward spiral

And now, when the sentiment of “an eye for an eye” has become even louder, I’m more convinced than before

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More from @aaronMCN

Oct 30, 2022
On Monday, the trial of two former editors of the defunct Stand News will begin, in what is Hong Kong's first sedition case involving a media organisation in several decades.

The pair faces a maximum jail sentence of two years if convicted. Image
@thewitnesshk has posted an analysis of the judgment in the sheep-and-wolves picture books case, which is the most recent interpretation the courts have offered for HK's sedition law.

@thewitnesshk are worth following for Chinese-language court coverage. thewitnesshk.com/%e7%be%8a%e6%9…
Edward Wong, who ran the discontinued FB page Law Lay Dream, said that courts generally don't engage in political discussions, but since the sedition offence itself involves political elements, that discussion was part of the sheep-and-wolves judgment.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 20, 2021
As promised, here is a timeline of the events described in the 30-page summary of facts read out at Andy Li's court hearing yesterday.

This is hopefully a more reader-friendly format than the original court document, which isn't organised chronologically. aaronmcn.substack.com/p/timeline-jim…
Most of the events occurred before the enactment of the national security law.

In the six weeks between its enactment and Andy Li's arrest, the most consequential initiative he worked on was the campaign to persuade foreign countries to end their extradition agreements with HK.
We already know that Andy Li's conviction must be based on his conduct after June 30, 2020, and the events before that can only serve as a background.

What isn't clear yet is to what extent that background will add to the weight of his conduct for the purpose of sentencing.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 24, 2021
The trial of six people who pleaded not guilty to rioting in Yuen Long on July 21, 2019, continued today.

The District Court judge spent considerable time picking apart the prosecution's opening statement, and it's worth documenting that in a thread: thestandnews.com/court/%E5%85%8…
The judge first asked why the prosecution cited the events of July 16, when some #antiELAB protesters held a film screening in Yuen Long, and some people with opposing views confronted them.

The prosecution said this was the background to July 21, and the two events are related.
At the prosecution's suggestion that one event led to the other, the judge said: "How? Are you saying the group of people on July 16 are the same people on July 21?"

The prosecution said after July 16, messages appeared online calling for a public meeting in Yuen Long on July 21
Read 12 tweets
Feb 23, 2021
Jimmy Lai's offer to make no public statements as a bail condition failed to satisfy the new judge, because it only accounted for one possible offence under the national security law, whereas the bail provision of the NSL refers to any act capable of damaging national security Image
Jimmy Lai's lawyer further offered to cut off the Internet at Lai's home and regulate visitors in terms of the number of people coming and the length of their visits.

The government, meanwhile, brought up Lai's financial transactions and his latest arrest last week. Image
The judge, who was assigned to this case after the Court of Final Appeal ruling on the NSL's bail provision, gave weight to the idea that Lai's financial means and connections could make it more likely that he would endanger national security if granted bail. Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 13, 2021
Some proposed amendments to the Immigration Ordinance are now getting even more media attention.

So it's worth sharing the HK government's explanation for the change, which some have described as a potential means to prevent anyone from leaving Hong Kong. legco.gov.hk/yr20-21/englis… Image
Section 3 of the Immigration (Amendment) Bill 2020, the section which has provoked this controversy, can be read below:

First and foremost, the section ought to be read together with whatever regulations come later as a result of it, which we haven't seen yet and can't pre-judge Image
But even without knowing what's coming later, the government's explanation asks us to read the (b) subsection together with the (a) subsection.

According to the government, this amendment is intended to fulfil HK's obligations under the Convention on International Civil Aviation Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 25, 2020
Democratic Party lawmaker Ted Hui has reportedly been arrested this morning. Three police officers arrived at his home to do a search. The reason is as yet unclear. Image
Hui’s party colleague @cheuktinglam has also been arrested. According to @HKDemocrats, the arrests relate to a case from last year at Tuen Mun Park.

More significantly, @HKDemocrats reported the police as saying that Lam Cheuk-ting is accused of rioting on July 21, 2019. Image
Police officers reportedly told @cheuktinglam he is suspected of participating in a riot on July 21, and separately, on July 6, 2019, the day a protest was held at Tuen Mun Park, he is suspected of conspiring with others to damage property and obstructing the course of justice. Image
Read 4 tweets

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