First there was all out censorship. Then warnings. Finally in recent weeks China has waged a full-blown disinformation campaign against the HK protesters. It’s a reminder the world’s most powerful online manipulation has its capital in Beijing, not Moscow. nytimes.com/2019/08/13/wor…
Likely they are learning from Moscow as well. But most of the reason China’s government gets less attention for its propaganda and disinformation is because its campaigns are largely aimed at its own people.
With protesters accusing China’s public security of planting an agent at airport protests tonight. And a Global Times reporter also being singled out and detained by protesters. The questions about China’s efforts to manipulate and muddy the narrative have become a major issue.
Beijing’s heightened rhetoric is a bad sign. If officials believe their disinformation, like protests being caused by foreign agents, it inevitably causes huge politics miscalculations. It also has built a surge of nationalist resentment in China, making compromise much harder.
The efforts are also projected internationally. Having spent the day trawling People’s Daily Twitter, they blame foreign agents, show protester violence, but never once identify a reason for the protests. Unsurprisingly many in China don’t understand what the protests are about.
It’s important to add, there was chilling violence and a mob trial committed against the two Chinese by protesters. The anger is fueled by a yawning power gap in narrative projection, an utter lack of political leadership, and intransigence from Beijing. It’s ugly on both sides.
At its heart this is about a demand for a government that responds to people’s demands. The complete unwillingness to give an inch from authorities on that has fueled a situation spinning rapidly out of control. The only verdict is total political failure.
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As Russia's invasion of Ukraine stalled, its television propaganda fired on all cylinders. In recent months we went through 1000s of emails from Russia's biggest state broadcaster to learn how. It was a master class in constructing an alternative reality. nytimes.com/2022/12/15/tec…
Each day Russian producers sent incredibly detailed lists of memes and media that could be used to undercut the West. Often that included right-wing cable TV and misleading memes, like this one, showing empty grocery shelves in the US:
Tucker Carlson was a favorite. “Don’t forget to take Tucker” producers wrote to a state-media journalist in the US, pointing to a clip where Tucker warned how opposing Russia and China could end the dollar’s status as a world reserve currency. They often used other clips too:
It’s day 3 and still videos of protests spread on Chinese social media. We see some familiar tricks, people use filters and take videos of videos to bypass AI models designed to identify sensitive videos. Still, the scale of sharing is likely overwhelming censorship manpower.
It’s difficult to censor video. AI trained software can find specific videos, or things in videos (like candles and tanks). But it’s costly to train new algos and the diversity of protest videos makes it very tough. Thus you need people to check, that takes time.
Tactics like the above, video of a video, trip up the algos too. Ultimately, it’s not that the censorship apparatus is failing, it’s just hit it’s natural limit. When you have this many people posting this much and being creative, the world’s best internet control regime loses.
Videos of protests across China are still visible on WeChat, even as they quickly become unplayable. This is definitely another Li Wenliang moment, when the full power of the world’s best censorship system battles the full fury of many Chinese. For now, the censors are struggling
It’s worth recalling since Li’s death, we’ve seen with increasing frequency online outrage that even China’s internet controls have struggled to contain. Shanghai lockdowns, Guizhou bus crash, now the Xinjiang fire. Each was a massive censorship event all its own.
It’s hard to know how large each given outpouring was. But the increasing frequency with which you see these mega censorship events is certainly a trend line that gets us to where we are now.
Get ready for China state-affiliated commentators to raise objections/kiss up to Elon. It would be surprising if Musk doesn’t get lobbied by Beijing to cut Twitter’s labeling of China media/officials. We’ll see how he responds. Obvi big q is also how he handles China disinfo.
Exhibit two in the trend. Again China has been massively active on Twitter with bot nets boosting state media/diplomat disinfo efforts on Covid origins, mass internments in Xinjiang and Russian propaganda like Ukraine bio labs. Musk will have a test in how to deal with it.
For examples about how this works, last year we showed how Chinese state media and embassy accounts on twitter spread YouTube videos in which minority Uyghurs read rote scripts attesting to how free they were and how great their life was: nytimes.com/interactive/20…
We spent months digging through a 700 gigabyte cache from within Russia's de facto internet intel agency Roskomnadzor.
It gave us one of the most complete pictures yet of Putin's efforts to control the internet. It is at turns farcical and terrifying. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
As Russia's invasion of Ukraine proceeded, local officials in Bashkortostan, a republic east of Moscow where the files are from, noted down in detail online discontent and protests. They tallied views, likes, specific criticism of Putin, and updated dossiers of worst offenders.
The attention to detail from one small team in one tiny part of Russia is startling. They chronicle anti-war walks and complaints about inflation. At times the reports sound like weather forecasts. “Calm with separate minor pockets of tension,” one said after a dissident arrest.
Awash in a sea of data, China authorities are trying to police the future.
It's not sci fi. Using vast data records on citizens, new software uses scoring and AI to predict crime and protest before they happen. Often the result is automated prejudice. nytimes.com/2022/06/25/tec…
It works like this: Police make blacklists of people they believe are suspicious: drug users, protesters, the mentally ill. Then they aim the surveillance system at those groups, collecting huge amounts of data on activity, location, relationships: nytimes.com/video/world/as…
Specialized software helps them program digital tripwires on predetermined behaviors they believe could signal a crime. If someone goes to a train station daily, but doesn't ride, they might be a pickpocket. An alarm instructs police to check on them. No warrant necessary.