Thread by @jonfavs

NEW POLL from @crookedmedia and @ChangePolls of general election voters in WISCONSIN:

Trump job approval: 48-51%

2020
Democrat: 46%
Trump: 45%
3rd Party: 3%
Unsure: 6%

Full results here, and follow this thread for more highlights: crooked.com/articles/polle…

2020 Wisconsin Primary:

Warren: 29%
Sanders: 24%
Biden: 20%
Buttigieg: 9%
Harris: 5%

Everyone else 2% and under

Warren also has the highest favorability of any candidate (84% among Dems)

Up for grabs voters:

- Independents (35% of electorate) lean Trump 43-41%
- 2016 3rd party voters (19% of undecideds) lean Dem 41-18%
- 2016 nonvoters (21% of undecideds) lean Dem 45-30%

Now for the interesting stuff. We ran this like a campaign poll, not a media poll, so we tested a bunch of positive and negative descriptions about Trump. Between 47-53% agreed with every description except one: “Trump drained the swamp,” which only 33% agreed with.

The statements about Trump where the largest majorities of all voters and independent voters agreed were:

“Trump is corrupt”
“Trump is focused on himself, not you”
“Trump fights for the wealthy and corporations, not working people”
“Trump is an ineffective leader”

WI voters are split on whether Trump is a racist:

49% agree (94% Ds, 46% Is, 4% Rs)
50% disagree

The most persuasive message we tested against Trump was this:

“Trump proposed nearly $1 trillion in cuts to Medicare to pay for his tax cut for millionaires and billionaires”

Made voters say they were less likely to support Trump by a margin of 38 points

Other persuasive messages that moved voters:

- Trump used the White House to enrich himself and his family businesses

- Trump’s failed trade war with China

- Trump’s tax law encouraged outsourcing

- Trump being accused of sexual assault by dozens of women