Ukraine's scandal-prone state security service, the SBU, has earned a reputation as one of the country's most corrupt institutions and proven thus far to be immune to reform. Is Ukraine’s newly elected President Zelenskiy up to the task? My story: rferl.org/a/ukraine-zele… v @RFERL
@RFERL How successful Zelenskiy is in cleaning up the SBU will be a litmus test of his office's resolve to bring Ukraine more into line with Western democracies. On the other hand, failure to reform it could hobble wider efforts to curb corruption & econ crime. rferl.org/a/ukraine-zele…
With 30,000+ employees, the SBU is more than seven times the size of the U.K.'s MI5, and more than four times the size of Israel's Mossad. Besides performing the intel roles, the SBU's also responsible for combating economic crimes and corruption. That's become a big problem.
Ihor Smeshko, SBU head from 2003-2005, told me the agency is "the most powerful institution in the country." Over the years, abuse of its power — including accusations of blackmail, corruption, arms trafficking, secret jails, torture, FSB links — has cast a shadow over the SBU.
So why wasn't it been reformed? "Ukraine has used the war as an excuse to not reform the SBU," said @MarkGaleotti. Critics also said ex-president @poroshenko lacked the political will to reform the agency b/c he didn't want to relinquish control of it as he fought for reelection
@MarkGaleotti@poroshenko SBU agents have for years abused their sweeping powers to enrich themselves. Directorate K, its economic crimes unit formed in the turbulent privatization era of the 1990s, is notorious for corruption and abusing its power. As one expert put it, "they can do whatever they want."
.@AndyHunder of @ChamberUkraine, says Directorate K's activities have scared away potential investors. He's met with Zelenskiy's team to encourage them to reform the SBU, warn them that "maski shows" (raids by armed, masked agents) would hobble Ukraine's ability to attract biz.
@MarkGaleotti@poroshenko This thread could go on... but I'll leave you instead with a tease of what else is in the piece & link: more on the SBU's corrupt nature, including lavish lifestyles of its agents; the SBU's infiltration by Russian spies; recommendations for reforming it. rferl.org/a/ukraine-zele…
Zelensky really hammered Europe in his Davos speech, addressing its future and the threats facing it.
"Right now, all eyes are on Washington. But who’s actually watching Europe at the moment?"
Here are some highlights from his speech 🧵
Zelensky: "Most of the world’s now thinking – so, what’s gonna happen to their relationship with America? What will happen to alliances? To support? To trade? How does President Trump plan to end wars? But no one is asking these kinds of questions about Europe. And we need to be honest about that."
Zelensky: "Europe can’t afford to be second or third in line for its allies. If that happens, the world will start moving forward without Europe, and that’s a world that won’t be comfortable or beneficial for Europeans."
New poll by Kyiv-based @NEC_Ukraine. Ukrainians surveyed in Nov. In sum: 'Mix of disappointment & optimism. More faith in ourselves than partners. Trust in Western leaders has fallen. Most Ukrainians believe partners not doing enough to ensure victory.' neweurope.org.ua/en/analytics/z…
Some bits that stand out: 64.1% of Ukrainians believe negotiations with Russia not worthwhile unless Ukraine receives real security guarantees from West, because "Russia will start the war again after a short pause." Those 30–39 years old are most in favor of negotiations (~40%).
Ukrainians are almost equally likely to consider the development of nuclear weapons by the state (31.3%) and gradual accession to NATO (29.3%) to be the best guarantees of Ukraine’s security. Only 6.4% believe in effectiveness of European troops on the territory of Ukraine.
New and terrifying: Kherson’s civilians have been the target of an experiment without precedent in modern European warfare: a concerted Russian campaign to empty a city by stalking its residents with drones.
w/ @samjoiner @inari_ta @FT + @Cen4infoRes on.ft.com/4fTNzAL
“They are hunting us,” Oleksandr Prokudin, head of Kherson region military admin, told me when I visited last week. Since mid-July Kherson residents suffered 9,500+ attacks with small drones, killing at least 37 people and injuring hundreds more. ft.com/content/31b630…
Russia has deployed some of its best drone units across the Dnipro river, which bisects Kherson. The Russians are launching advanced drone models, refining combat techniques and training new operators – and their using civilians as "target practice." ft.com/content/31b630…
Ukraine today: A fresh poll shows Ukrainians’ interest in negotiations; and Zelensky tells Ukrainian reporters he’s “not afraid” of Trump 2.0, and signals more govt shakeups likely ahead. (Rumors of PM Shmyhal’s departure, etc. have swirled for months.) 🧵
A new poll by @RazumkovC for @zn_ua found that 44% of Ukrainians believe it’s time for negotiations between Ukraine and Russia (35% say not yet; 21% undecided). That's a big shift compared to last year, when 64% of Ukrainians opposed talks with Moscow. zn.ua/ukr/UKRAINE/44…
@RazumkovC @zn_ua But vast majority of Ukrainians – 83% – disagree with Putin's conditions, which would include the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from beyond the administrative borders of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia regions just to start talks. zn.ua/ukr/UKRAINE/44…
NEW: Our @FT team identified and located four Ukrainian children who were abducted and taken to Russia and are now advertised as up for adoption on a Russian government-linked adoption website, including one child under a false Russian identity. on.ft.com/3KLKm85
.@FT confirmed the children’s IDs with help of Ukrainian Child Rights Protection Centre. We are awaiting further confirmation on two more children located by the FT who we strongly believe are Ukrainian. The children’s guardians and Ukraine’s authorities had previously been unaware of their whereabouts.
The four Ukrainian children were abducted from state care homes and separated from their guardians and relatives in towns across the southern and eastern regions of Ukraine that fell under the control of Russia’s invading army in 2022. on.ft.com/3KLKm85
NEW: US is close to signing new security pact with Ukraine in signal of support to assuage Kyiv after “tense” relations that some officials say have hit their lowest ebb since Russia’s full-scale invasion. Story w/ @JamesPoliti @HenryJFoy. More in 🧵below. ft.com/content/966970…
Zelensky’s frustration with Biden was laid bare when the Ukrainian prez rebuked his US counterpart in blunt terms, saying Biden’s plan to attend a Democratic fundraiser rather than Ukraine’s peace summit on June 15-16 was “not a strong decision”. ft.com/content/966970…
One Zelensky-appointed senior government official who spoke to the @FT about the US-Ukraine relationship said: “We are farther apart than ever since the war started. It is very, very tense.” ft.com/content/966970…