NBC/WSJ Poll: Trump approval drops five net points, falling to 43-55 (was 45-52).

This is Trump's worst net approval (-12) since April 2018.

While Trump has a 43% approval, only 40% will either definitely or likely vote for him - again below his approval. That's bad for Trump.
NBC/WSJ Poll - Favorability numbers:

Trump 39-53
Biden 34-38
Bernie 37-40
Warren 31-32
NRA 40-41
Planned Parenthood 52-27

That represents Trump's lowest net favorable rating since December 2018, and Warren is still unknown by 17% of Americans.
NBC/WSJ Poll on gun control:

Do you favor...

Expanding background checks 89-10
Red flag laws 76-22
Voluntary gun buybacks 75-23
Banning semi-automatic guns 62-37
Banning all handguns 25-75

You can see the line in the sand here between banning semi-automatic and ALL handguns.
NBC/WSJ Poll: While just 50% of Americans are worried about another terrorist attack, 68% are worried about another mass shooting by white nationalists attacking people "based on their color."
NBC/WSJ Poll: Just 36% approve of Trump's response to the Dayton and El Paso shootings, while 52% disapprove.

54% of Americans believe Trump's language on Twitter and in speeches had a role in the shootings while 42% do not.
NBC/WSJ Poll: There are 9% of voters that disapprove of Trump's job as president but do approve of his job on the economy.

Of that 9%, they prefer a Democrat over Trump 73-5.

That is a segment Trump can't afford to lose in 2020, but he continues to poll below his approval.

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More from @NumbersMuncher

Jun 26, 2022
CBS News Poll: Americans disapprove of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v Wade by an 18 point margin, 59-41.

Women disapprove by a 34 point margin, 67-33.
It remains to be seen what impact the Supreme Court's decision will have on the midterms, but it has (for now) motivated Democrats to vote in much higher numbers than Republicans.

Independents are more likely to vote than Republicans, but more are also now less likely to vote.
CBS News Poll: 57% of Americans believe that the Supreme Court will now go after same sex marriage while 55% believe they will limit access to birth control.

Hard to argue with them given that Thomas called for it, but not as clear that a case could get 5 votes. We'll find out.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 7, 2022
If you insist that students need masks in school, you should not be taking your mask off in a school for any reason.

This isn't difficult - if it's too dangerous for kids to learn without a mask then it's way too dangerous for you to take yours off for a photo op.
I thought masks were helpful early on and still think they have some marginal benefits when you're in a crowd for short periods of time (stores, etc).

But there are studies showing that masks on students in a classroom all day do next to nothing... it's well past time to stop.
Have you been around young kids sitting in a classroom for 6+ hours a day? They are not wearing high quality masks and they are absolutely not wearing them properly.

It's been two years - we know so much more... we should start acting like it and stop masking kids out of fear.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 13, 2021
CNN Poll: 73% of Americans have received at least one dose of the COVID vaccine while 27% have not.

88% of Democrats, 68% of independents, and 60% of Republicans have done so.

35% of Republicans say they will not get vaccinated, compared to 25% of independents and 8% of Dems.
CNN Poll: 88% of college graduates have received at least one dose of the COVID vaccine while just 64% of non-college grads have.

87% of those who approve of Biden's job have received at least one dose against 57% of those who disapprove of Biden's job.
CNN Poll: 57% of parents say that all children attending school in-person should wear a facemask while 43% say no.

Overall that number is 63-37 when non-parents are included.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 11, 2021
This article from the Federalist is the greatest thing they've ever written.

"Supreme Court has upheld [mandatory school vaccines] as constitutional for over a century, and only the political fringes believe there ought to be a debate about such matters."
thefederalist.com/2015/02/03/the…
Every piece of this article is simply amazing from the Federalist:

"But that doesn’t mean there are no tradeoffs for such a decision (refusing vaccinations). If you choose not to vaccinate, private and public institutions should be able to discriminate on that basis."
The Federalist actually said that the government should withhold child tax credits for those who refuse to vaccinate!

"The Australian experience on vaccines, where they tied access to family tax benefits to immunization, illustrates that carrots can be quite effective."
Read 5 tweets
Aug 26, 2021
UK Study: "There was no evidence that face coverings, 2-metre social distancing or stopping children mixing was associated with lower odds of COVID-19 [rates]... in the school. Primary school staff found teaching challenging during COVID-19 restrictions"

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
One of the things about "following the science" is that you have to be willing to change what the data warrants.

Masks in schools (esp elementary) have almost no impact unless they are N95s, and younger kids end up playing with them to the point where they are a detriment.
We know a lot more this year than we did last year and if the data shows masks don't help a lot when kids are stationary for 6 hours, there's no need to force it just for a false sense of security.

My wife teaches kindergarten and I can tell you that they are absolutely no help.
Read 4 tweets

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