Joe Barnes Profile picture
Aug 19, 2019 14 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1: Boris Johnson is jetting off to see German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Emmanuel Macron ahead of the G7 summit. Here are some thoughts on what Brexit messages he will try to deliver.
2: Johnson today said: 'I want a deal. We are ready to work with our friends and partners to get a deal.

'But if you want a good deal for the UK you must simultaneously get ready to come out without one.'
3: Johnson is "confident" that the EU will renegotiate the withdrawal deal, which was agreed with Theresa May last November.
4: What exactly is Johnson going to be asking for? He'll tell the EU they must 'renegotiate the deal in a way that Parliament can support', according to a UK Gov source.
5: Source adds: 'The problem with the old deal which the EU is insisting upon is that it could make the UK a rule-taker for ever. Many of our laws and taxes would be decided by EU not UK. People of Northern Ireland would have no say in rules covering swathes of their economy.'
6: Remember the EU side doesn't see the backstop as being the only issue why MPs have rejected the withdrawal agreement three times. Insight from Austria's Brexit negotiator below.

7: Current EU offer to fix the backstop is through the the political declaration on the future relationship. Brussels believes Johnson can add more detail to show a clearer path to avoiding the backstop.
8: Barnier often talks about making the political declaration 'more ambitious'. Johnson looks set to reject any concept that uses single market and customs union membership to alleviate the need for the backstop.
9: UK source says: 'We do not accept the argument that says that these issues can be solved only by all or part of the UK remaining in the customs union or the single market. Other arrangements are perfectly possible and compatible with the Belfast and Good Friday Agreement.'
10: EU have said they will listen to 'concrete proposals that are compatible with the current withdrawal agreement'. But Brussels is pretty adamant that they haven't seen anything put forward by the UK yet.
11: The lack of ideas from London and Johnson's demand to scrap the backstop has made Germany believe no deal is 'highly likely', according to a finance ministry document. Merkel has been urged not to compromise as a result.
12: UK source says: 'There is abundant scope to find the solutions necessary. There are a range of measures which could be explored, which reflect the previously jointly stated aim to find flexible and creative solutions to the unique circumstances on the island of Ireland.'
13: Not exactly a plan for the EU to ponder over, but will no doubt fuel at least a little bit of hope that Johnson has at least one idea to bring back the Brexit deal.
14: Johnson will have to win back the faith of Brussels, a lot of diplomats have criticised his no deal stance as political posturing to 'preserve the Tory party'.

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More from @Barnes_Joe

Jul 16, 2023
UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace made unwanted headlines with his comments about 'gratitude' and 'Amazon' over Western aid to Ukraine, but his press briefing at Nato contained some fascinating, and largely unreported, intel on Kyiv's counter-offensive. 1/
Wallace dismissed concerns over the pace of Ukraine’s offensive. He said Kyiv’s forces were ‘advancing every day’, but had been somewhat slower than expected because Russia's lessons learned and they've adapted accordingly. /2
Ukrainians have been forced to dismount from their Western-supplied vehicles and wade through dense Russian anti-tank minefields on foot, Wallace said, because Kyiv's lack of 'combat engineering capabilities', often under heavy fire from Russian drones and artillery. /3
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Jun 12, 2022
1/ Here's what to expect when Liz Truss, the Foreign Secretary, sets out the contents of her Northern Ireland Protocol Bill to the Commons on Monday afternoon.
It will make changes to four key areas of the current agreement;
Customs
VAT & subsidies
Divergence
Governance
2/ Why is the Gov introducing the bill? Truss will say it is needed because the EU has not shown a willingness to change the text of the current Protocol and address the issues being caused in NI, and now Gov is obliged to act to protect the GFA and restore political stability.
3/ Problem 1: Truss will promise to remove almost all trade checks in the Irish Sea introduced as a result of the Protocol. The legislation will introduce a 'green lane' to get rid of onerous checks for goods destined for NI's shelves and not the EU's Single Market.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 24, 2022
'The world can see unity is our strength,' says Ursula von der Leyen. 'We will hold Russia accountable for this outrageous violation of Ukraine's sovereignty snd territorial integrity.'
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'This package will include financial sanctions that harshly limit Russia's access to the capital markets,' VDL says. 'The second main pillar of our sanctions concerns access to crucial tech. We want to cut off Russia from the tech desperately needed today to build a future.'
Read 4 tweets
Feb 24, 2022
Big, moment for EU leaders today. Despite reaching an agreement on sanctions yesterday, many EU nations were palpably angry the measures didn’t go far enough, because the bloc couldn’t target oligarchs, like the US and EU.
Source says: ‘It risks Global Britain trumping Europe.’
EU leaders hold an emergency summit in Brussels this evening, will they be able to agree on a genuinely tough package, or will the doves - Italy, Spain, Austria, to name a few - insist on further ‘incremental’ steps in the face of a full-blown Russian invasion of Ukraine.
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Feb 22, 2022
.@jensstoltenberg 'This is the most dangerous moment in European security for a generation.'
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Nato also backs UK/US in saying latest Russian aggression is an invasion. 'I think we have to recall Russia has already invaded Ukraine, they invaded Ukraine back in 2014… what we see now is a country that is already invaded is suffering further invasion,' says @jensstoltenberg
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22, 2022
Hungary only EU state to resist new sanctions package, Italy and Austria were resisting but ultimately came on board - but helped water down the response.

Of the three, an EU diplomat says: 'It wouldn’t be the first time they find themselves on the wrong side of history.'
EU's latest sanction mirrors its 2014 response to the annexation of Crimea, travel bans and asset freezes on people involved. These measures upgraded to hit 351 Duma reps that voted in favour of recognition of Ukraine's breakaway states, and military commanders involved.
Hungary's Viktor Orban has been a long-time ally of Vladimir Putin, and has publicly stated EU should opt for dialogue instead of sanctions to avert a war.
Read 7 tweets

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