Finshots Profile picture
Aug 20, 2019 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So McKinsey just released a report titled - Is Asia heading
toward a debt crisis?. And here's a tweet thread simplifying some of the most important points
Households & Governments across Asia Pacific have been borrowing a lot lately. Meaning we've seen a huge rise in Debt to GDP in countries like Singapore and China. India's situation is also bad, but not as bad because households in India don't borrow to spend
That's where the good news ends. One look at Indian corporates and you know its bad. As of 2017, 43% of all long term loans issues to corporates were held by companies that barely made enough profits to service their interest (Interest Coverage<1.5). #Stressed
It’s also troublesome because their ability to turn around performance and repay the debt requires working across multiple stakeholders—regulators, consumers, local
and national governments, and the companies
themselves—making recovery much more
complicated for corporates
Also the boom of shadow banking (NBFCs) hasn't exactly helped matters either with most NBFCs having created long term loans using short term funds. And with the IL&FS crisis, we are at a point where the cost of funding is slowly inching up as everybody is now scared to lend.
The equity buffer to support such a crisis is also dwindling and the inflow of monies from other countries have only magnified risks as they are well known to vacate emerging markets during times of crisis.

So what could trigger the crisis?
Many things, but the most important of which is the ongoing trade war. For example, analysts have estimated that an aggressive trade war between the United States and China could cut GDP by 1.7 to 2.5 percent in both countries and the ripples could soon spread to India as well

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More from @finshots

Sep 5
Hospitals are earning record profits, yet access to healthcare remains lowest in India.

But why ?

We dug deep on this issue and here's what we found out👇 Image
1/ Before getting into what’s happening, you need to understand what Average Revenue Per Occupied Bed or ARPOB means.
It essentially translates to hospitals tracking revenue per occupied bed, just like hotels do per occupied room.
And ARPOB across major hospital chains are at an all time high!
2/ Max Hospital is making ~Rs 78,000/day/bed
Fortis is making ~ Rs 73,000/day/bed
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Now, when occupancy rates are still around 65%, how are these hospitals making such record profits?
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Sep 2
44 Lakh Reliance investors may miss out their pie on the upcoming Jio IPO!

What’s really at stake?

Here’s what you need to know👇 Image
1/ Jio Platforms is about to make history on Dalal Street, targeting a jaw-dropping $154B valuation for its 2026 IPO.

Yet, 44 lakh Reliance Industries shareholders won’t get direct Jio shares like last time. They’ll participate only via RIL’s 66.3% holding.
2/ This contrasts sharply with Jio Financial’s previous “buy one, get one free” spin-off, where RIL shareholders received direct shares.

Now, investors face a classic holding company discount which is less direct value, but RIL.
Read 8 tweets
Aug 29
Reliance just concluded it's 48th AGM

Here's All you need to know about the upcoming Jio IPO and more such highlights🧵 Image
1/ Mukesh Ambani announced Jio IPO likely in the first half of 2026, marking a key milestone for Reliance’s telecom arm. This listing is a key unlock for investors and reflects the maturing digital market in India amid rising demand for connectivity and digital services post-pandemic.
2/Reliance is building the world’s largest clean energy ecosystem: battery gigafactories (40-100 GWh output), solar PV manufacturing to scale to 20 GWp, and green hydrogen production. Furthermore, Jio-BP will expand its EV charging network and mobility fuels, driving India’s green mobility transition.
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Aug 18
Why India’s Semiconductor Story May Begin with Packaging Image
1) Semiconductor chips are everywhere, in phones, cars, and even medical devices. But producing them is one of the most complex industrial processes in the world, involving over a thousand steps.
2) Broadly, the journey has three stages: design, manufacturing in semiconductor fabrication plants, and assembly and testing, known as OSAT. While manufacturing plants usually attract the most attention because they are massive, capital-intensive, and create jobs, they are also extremely difficult to set up. Building them requires billions of dollars, years of effort, a reliable supply of pure water and electricity, and decades of technical expertise, which countries such as Taiwan and South Korea have already developed.
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Aug 18
GCCs are killing the Indian IT Industry! Here's the reason why👇 Image
1/Indian IT layoffs have often been blamed on AI taking away jobs. However, a deeper shift is at play with the Global Capability Centres (GCCs) quietly transforming the industry landscape. GCCs mean companies are bringing in-house tech and are cutting reliance on traditional outsourcing firms.
2/The original outsourcing model was cost arbitrage via Indian IT giants like TCS and Infosys. But by 2013, big clients like Bank of America and Procter & Gamble started "insourcing" technology work, setting up their own Indian operations.
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Aug 1
The EV industry in India is on the verge of collapse. Image
1) The Indian EV industry might be on the verge of a fallout. Tata Motors’ EV market share dropped from nearly 70% in early 2024 to 53% in 2025. And unlike countries like China, the Indian market’s EV aspirations are not for a clean fuel alternative, but for a better value for money.
2) One of the main reasons for this plunge can be attributed to India’s dangerous dependency on rare-earth materials, which China controls. And following Beijing’s tighter export rules on rare earths, the magnet shipments to India are already facing delays, hurting the production process.
Read 8 tweets

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