Asked by regional BBC station to discuss falling vaccination rates - grand, except they wanted me on against someone claiming vaccines are dangerous. Explained this was textbook false balance, unethical, & against BBC trust guidelines. They wouldn't budge, so I'm not doing it😑
..this isn't being precious. You can't wring hands over declining vaccination rates whilst giving a platform to anti-vaccine claims. This isn't a matter of opinion, it's a matter of fact: vaccination saves lives, and all the evidence points one way. There is no 'debate' here
It's immensely frustrating to have to say this so often to journalists, but false balance is a serious problem and it's irresponsible and lazy to contrive a debate over something that has a real human cost, as I've said before in @guardiantheguardian.com/science/blog/2…
@guardian Incidentally, I suggested as alternative we discuss fears & misconceptions WITHOUT platforming anti-vaccine figures. That would have been important, public service journalism - way more interesting too, I think. Would you prefer that show, a discussion rather than debate?
@guardian Also, I'd like to point out this isn't BBC bashing - I am a huge fan, and contribute to them on a regular basis. I do hold them to a higher standard than others, but this problem materialises on all networks on current affairs shows, with mindless debate in lieu of understanding
@guardian This is so bloody ubiquitous I've given a whole chapter to false balance in "The Irrational Ape" - I even briefly mention BBC trust findings with regard to climate change & skewed coverage😶- Out September 5th if you're interested, more on it here -
Social media plagued by health grifters, scaremongering, & snake-oil peddlers, many with huge followings. I'm often asked to weigh in on claims and confirm whether someone is a pushing misinformation or not. Here's a useful heuristic for spotting health charlatans.. a🧵..
..First question: Does claimant have relevant experience? Have they related qualifications, publications, or specific expertise to assess and make the claim they do? If not, that is a red flag. Also, important to dig beyond appearance: any grifter can pose in lab coat or scrubs
..Second question: Are they extrapolating from limited evidence, or dubious sources? Murine studies and petri dish prelims should never be the basis for human health advice. Also be extremely wary of someone who takes a small study, or a weak association, and makes a big claim
Whenever I see a guideline insisting we're all Vitamin D deficient, I get a sinking feeling I'm reading the legacy of bad science. Meta-scientists often complain how Vitamin D research is, as a field, so methodologically shabby as to be meaningless. How bad? Well let's dig in...
Firstly, what *is* vitamin D deficiency? Methodologists say not to dichotomise a continuous variables for good reason, & medical scientists completely ignore this because they want pretty results. I looked at last 5 years of Vit-D obs. trials: Here's what it looked like..
..you read that correctly. Of trials that set an arbitrary threshold (the majority), authors used at least 9 different thresholds, ranging from 0.2 ng / mL to 200,000 ng / mL. Generously assuming they're howling typos, 20 ng / mL was most common, then 10 ng/ mL, then 30 ng / mL
Misinformation, disinformation and malinformation are rampant on social media, and their influence and prevalence will only get worse in 2024. I'm often asked what we can do to limit their harms. Here are some simple suggestions. A short thread 🧵
..first, we need distinguish between them. Misinformation is the inadvertent sharing of falsehoods, disinformation is the deliberate propagation of the same, and the lesser-known cousin malinformation is the weaponisation of information out of context to mislead. All are harmful
So what can we do to protect ourselves? First and foremost, we can check our sources. When we come across a claim, we need to determine whence it originates and its inherent veracity. Is it fact-checked, or from a reliable news source? Or does it come from a dubious corner?
So @joerogan insisting @PeterHotez "debate" notorious antivaccine spoofer RFK Jr shows Rogan fails to grasp debate is only useful if conducted in good faith. If one party lies, youre just giving them a vehicle to spread that lie to detriment of understanding. A short thread.. 🧵
So debate is not an arbiter of truth. If one perspective amply supported by evidence, & another completely unsupported, giving them equal consideration merely because theyre opppsed has effect of allowing the unevidenced view leech an illusion of legitimacy, misleading people
...this is the false balance problem, and it has utterly damaged public understanding on everything from climate change to vaccination. Cranks adore it, because it allows them to push their misinformation, as I wrote for guardian in 2016
Good grief - utter nonsense shared yesterday by @ABridgen and his ideological cohort claims COVID vaccines are dangerous has gotten huge traction, but its founded on an utter abuse of data. Let's look at precisely why its junk - Strap in, it's a thread... 🧵
..firstly the source is Expose News, which solicits donations & pumps out conspiracy junk. They've taken publicly available ONS data, and presented it as shocking: for example, this is their figure (mislabelled as it is) of unvaccinated versus vaccinated deaths April-Dec 2021...
..4034 deaths in unvaccinated versus 13,116 (~76.5%) deaths in vaccinated cohort, scary right? Well.. no: in the same period of time, 93.6% of UK were vaccinated; so a tiny fraction of unvaccinated (6.4%) accounted for 23.5% of deaths, 3.7x greater hazard being unvaccinated!
US Department of Energy (DoE) report on COVID origins & FBI director on Fox news has set cat among pidgeons again -so is a #lableak now more likely now?
No - and demands to investigate lab-leak narratives neglect basic principles of scientific inquiry; a thread 🧵
So first thing to note is the DoE report is classified, but concludes with "low confidence" - what does that mean in practice? That its unreliable, and not a basis for an analytical conclusion. Note that the report didn't change any other intelligence outfits minds either..
This togethers implies that any ostensible evidence DoE marshal is somewhat underwhelming; not surprising when steady evidence has accumulated since 2020 all pointing to the conclusion that the virus emerged from animal spill-over, with not a shred of solid evidence otherwise..