Look, some of those thorium nuclear reactor stories might well be true, but there are few serious claims they'll hit the market before the 2040s.
I'm sorry, but that makes them uninteresting to me.
We've got an urgent task at hand: rapid decarbonization of the world's electricity. And with cheap renewables, getting cheaper all the time, we have the means to make that happen.
Even the Netherlands will get over 70% of its electricity from wind and solar by *2030*!
Europe's electric utilities (in @Eurelectric) aim for zero emission EU electricity 'well before 2050'. A technology starting to come to the market in the 2040s is not interesting for that either. The bulk of this will be achieved through renewables again.
@eurelectric If anyone thinks thorium nuclear reactors will be able to compete in a 2040s zero-emissions electricity system based on cheap wind, cheap solar, cheap batteries, and cheap hydrogen: fine, then by all means continue the R&D.
@eurelectric Just don't mix them into discussion on how to get to zero-emission electricity within the coming 2-3 decades. And that's were society's focus should be. No time to wait!
@eurelectric The same holds for nuclear fusion, by the way. Just replace 'before the 2040s' by 'before the 2050s'. Or is it 2060s by now?
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Starting a week-long business & pleasure trip to Spain, by train!
Hope to be in Barcelona this evening :)
I'll keep you posted in this🧵
The plan for today: Utrecht - Rotterdam - Paris - Barcelona. The tricky part is changing trains in Paris. Theoretically 2 hours should be more than enough to get from Paris-Nord to Gare de Lyon (the rail planner irresponsibly proposed 1 hour), but @Eurostar is often delayed (2/n)
Made it to Rotterdam, at least ;)
Bit very early, but hey, why hurry on a Saturday morning? (3/n)
Reading the Dutch "Action agenda congestion low-voltage grids".
The accelating energy transition already brings grid issues here. In the low-voltage distribution grid, the growing number of solar panels (PV), electric cars (EV) and (hybrid) heat pumps ((h)WP) is the challenge.
Without measures, a large and growing number of households would experience periods with too high or too low voltage (over- resp. onderspanning) or risk of grid failure.
Measures are categorized in: 1) accelerating grid expansion 2) more efficient use of the grid capacity 3) saving energy as much as possible.
1) already gets a lot of attention, and each of the three main DSOs plans to spend around €1 billion/year. Many hurdles though.
"Transition doesn't make energy cheaper, but to the contrary, significantly more expensive"
Headline in Dutch @Volkskrant yesterday, 9 days before the elections here. "Consumers and companies will pay 92% more for electricity and natural gas by 2030".
Hmm, let's look into that.
Firstly, as others have already pointed out too, it's a comparison between 2020 and 2030. In 2020, energy was cheap: Covid reduced demand, and Russia hadn't started its energy war and attack on Ukraine yet.
Compared with 2023, not a lot would remain of the "+92%".
Looking into the forecasted price increase 2020-2030 it has three components: 1. Tax (Belasting) +€5 billion. That'd be a political choice, which has little to do with the energy transition. 2. Grid (Netbeheer) +€5 billion. Increase to be expected indeed.
But ...
A problem for French nuclear power producer EDF: its total production cost (in the old power plants) is 60 €/MWh, according to the regulator, but govt forces it to sell a big chunk at 42 €/MWh.
60 €/MWh is not a bad cost in the current European electricity market, but it's also a reality check for those here who think nuclear power is practically for free after the investment in the power plant is done.
Tomorrow, @KornelisBlok's 40+ years of wide-ranging, thorough, and groundbreaking work on the energy transition will come together in his "Need for Speed" lecture. Recommended!
Time: 15:00 CEST
Link: lnkd.in/e6hbsKQc #energytransition#tudelft
Time to tune in!
.@KornelisBlok's 1984 analysis of 100% renewable energy for the Netherlands! Including heat pumps and electrolysis.