On @BBCRadio4 now. This year, 18,000 Export Health Certificates are issued for food goods which cross the border. That will rise to an estimated 2,000,000 EHC's in No Deal! /1
@BBCRadio4 They need to come from an Authorised VET, from an Authorised premises and enter the EU through a Border Inspection Point. /2
@BBCRadio4 So, a sandwich maker in Derry supplying a Chicken and Bacon sandwich to a filling station in Donegal would need a EHC for the Chicken and one for the Bacon /3
@BBCRadio4 That is if he/she can find an Authorised Vet and have his/her premises authorised /4
@BBCRadio4 Then, the sandwich has to travel through Northern Ireland, cross the border at Auchnacloy, drive the rest of the 150 miles to Dublin Port to pass through the Border Inspection Post /5
@BBCRadio4 And then make the 150 mile journey back, cross the Border again, drive through NI and cross the Border to get to the retailer in Donegal (1 mile away) /6
@BBCRadio4 Will that happen? No chance. The business is lost or the company (and RoI retailer) will break the law /7
@BBCRadio4 DEFRA charge £200 per EHC, charged to the manufacturer or processor. But, DEARA (the NI Department) do not have the legal right to charge this back /8
@BBCRadio4 So, 2,000,000 EHC's at £200 a time = £400,000,000 which the NI Block Grant needs to pay! /9
@BBCRadio4 With c70 days to run, someone somewhere needs to be choosing which public service needs to be reduced, removed or closed. Which hospital ward will close to pick up this bill? Or are HMG going to lump more money in to NI to pay for it? /10
EHC's come on top of the costs of Origin Certificates, the changes needed to secure market authorisations, new customs processes and procedures and much more /11
Or, we agree a deal. Ends.
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“The clause… would specifically protect only three parts of the protocol, covering rights of individuals, free travel and north-south co-operation in areas like health and agriculture.”
We’ll see tomorrow but the outcome of this would be worse than no deal (-40k jobs)
For instance under “no deal”there’d be customs, tariffs, rules of origin and SPS checks. If story is true under the dual regulatory provision Agrifood product would be expressly excluded from EUs market due to banned inputs
/2
Anyone got a plan of how to dispose of 800k litres of excess milk?
And the protocol consent mechanism would be removed meaning locally elected lawmakers don’t have a say.
Today, we have published the first survey of the experience of NI business to the operation of the NI Protocol. Report here manufacturingmonthni.com/wp-content/upl…
The survey took place in the most turbulent period at the end of the first month, with significant media attention and in a difficult political environment during the week which included the suspension of some controls at the Ports. /2
As predicted, the manufacturing community has experienced significant disruption. The absence of detail and time, uncertainty on our status and that of our goods, and political instability all contributing to a month of turbulence. /3
The Boris plan unveiled today means Tariffs N to S meaning farms and agri food will be decimated. Also means 2 borders requiring renewal after 4 years, surveillance in border communities without their consent, checks N/S and W/E, no exemptions, no market access and import VAT.
1% of our manufacturing firms are large businesses. The other 99% are SMEs. They have neither the capital or the capacity to handle these new complexities and associated costs.
For businesses nearer the border, this puts a huge impediment in the way of their trade which will mean that they cannot compete and customers the other side of the Border will cut them them their supply chain.