This is Sóller. A town in the north of Mallorca with a pretty church, lovely botanical gardens and a quaint tram that trundles down to the sea. But the thing it’s prob best known for is... 1/
Oranges. The orange groves, or “huertas” around Sóller (see pic) produce oranges of a particular sweetness and succulence. Louis XIV used to demand only to be served oranges from Sóller. Take it from me, they’re really juicy and lovely. 2/
But orange trees are relatively thirsty and rainfall in Mallorca is not esp frequent, so there wouldn’t be Sóller oranges without a complex system of irrigation canals originally constructed by the Moors hundreds of yrs ago. You see them all around the valley 3/
If you’re a farmer you’ll be entitled to a certain no of hours of water each week, after which it’s yr responsibility to switch a gate, diverting water onto yr neighbour downhill (pics show one of the junctions & one of those gates, which in practice is just a rock in a hole) 4/
The striking thing abt this system is it’s managed and enforced not by the Ajuntament (town hall) or a company but by the farmers themselves. If you forget to move your rock you’ll soon get a visit from an irate neighbour. The COMMUNITY manages this common resource (water) 5/
And this is not really what conventional economics implies. The whole point of the “tragedy of the commons” is that it’s a tragedy: people are doomed to deplete common resources because someone will always take advantage. But Sóller’s orange groves show that’s not quite right 6/
Indeed it turns out there are hundreds of examples of small communities coming together to manage common resources. Elinor Ostrom won a Nobel memorial prize for her work cataloguing them. Her Nobel speech is a must read on this topic [pdf]: nobelprize.org/uploads/2018/0… 7/
One of Ostrom’s examples was the orange growers around Valencia, who operate a very similar system to the one in Sóller. Here’s the map from the relevant chapter of her seminal work Governing the Commons 8/
Ostrom found that actually these community managed systems tended to be MORE efficient than those managed top down by governments or companies. This is the exact opposite of what conventional economics and the tragedy of the commons suggest. And it’s an important reminder... 9/
We often assume that if there’s the risk of a market failure the obvious solution is either top down regulation or slicing something up into parcels of privately owned land/resource. Ostrom’s work suggests there is a better bottom-up alternative 10/
Of course there are many provisos. Small community schemes to manage common resources prob won’t solve climate change or overfishing since these issues are too vast. Still it’s striking how often ppl trot out the “tragedy of the commons” w/o remembering it’s not that simple 11/
Before anyone pipes up, yes that includes me; I made a whole documentary about problems facing the oceans which talked extensively about the tragedy of the commons 12/
🧵Three years ago, when Russia invaded Ukraine, EU, UK and other nations vowed to wage economic war, via the toughest sanctions in history.
So... how's that going?
We've spent months documenting what ACTUALLY happened. Here's a thread of threads on the REAL story on sanctions...
1. Flows of dual use items, including radar parts, drone components and other parts used by Russia to kill Ukrainians, carried on from the UK and Europe to Russia, via the backdoor (eg the Caucasus & Central Asia)
2. Of all the goods sent by the UK to Russian neighbours, few were as significant as luxury cars.
Having sanctioned Russia (the idea being to starve Putin's cronies of luxuries) Britain (and Europe more widely) began sending those sanctioned cars in via the backdoor instead
If the main thing the US really wants out of a deal with Ukraine is "50% of its rare earth minerals" then I'm surprised this can't be wrapped up pretty quickly.
Why? Because Ukraine doesn't HAVE many rare earth resources.
Really. As far as anyone knows it's got barely any...
Yes, Ukraine has lots of coal and iron and manganese.
It also has some potential sizeable reserves of stuff like titanium, graphite and lithium. Not to mention some promising shale gas.
But of the 109 deposits identified by KSE only 3 are rare earth elements
Now in one respect I'm making a pedantic point: a lot of people say "rare earth elements" when they actually mean "critical minerals".
The two aren't the same thing.
Rare earth elements are a v specific bit of the periodic table: actually they're NOT all that rare.
More on them👇
🧵THE STRANGE CASE OF THE ONE MILLION POUND FINE
The story of an obscure press release on an obscure website which begs intriguing questions about Britain's "unprecedentedly tough" sanctions regime & why perhaps it's not quite as tough as it looks.
You may find it unsettling
👇
Back in Aug 2023, HMRC published this notice in the bowels of its website. Don't worry if it doesn't ring a bell - it didn't get any publicity.
But it's a big deal. A £1m fine for breaking Russian sanctions rules.
The single biggest fine in relation to trade sanctions.
But there are some gaping questions about this fine.
First: who paid it? Is this a firm we've heard of? Second: what did they actually do wrong? And what did they do to deserve to pay such a large sum?
There are no answers on the website. That's it. Here's why this matters.
🇨🇳I was rather hoping to be writing this from China, where the Chancellor has just landed for the most significant economic mission in ages - restarting Britain's formal economic relationship with China.
Alas I'm still in London.
But make no mistake; this visit is a BIG deal.
🧵
Why?
Because this is the first such trip since 2017.
UK econ relations with China have been getting frostier for 6 yrs or more.
Huawei have been thrown out; rules imposed on Chinese businesspeople; accusations of spying.
& around the world nations are imposing tariffs on China.
But the UK is doing something different.
While nearly every other G7 nation has imposed tariffs on Chinese electric cars, the UK hasn't. While most countries are going colder on China (most notably the US), the UK is now cosying up to China. Why?
🔥GAS PRICES🔥
Why are they on the rise again?
Why is Europe (and the UK) deindustrialising at a rapid pace?
Why have we failed (contrary to the conventional wisdom) to increase the amount of non-Russian gas in our system?
Lots of questions. Some answers in my five min primer 👇
This is a big deal - and not widely understood:
The volume of non-Russian gas in the European system is FLAT vs before the Ukraine war.
That's not the conventional wisdom.
Back in 2022 many assumed imported LNG would help make up the lost gas from Russia.
That didn't happen...
Instead what happened is subtly, but importantly, different.
Yes, the amount of LNG coming in from the US rose quite sharply - albeit from a low base.
But that rise was only enough to compensate for the fact that domestic production in the UK/EU was FALLING at the same time
🌾 VERTICAL FARMING🌾
Could it save the world?
I used to be sceptical. There are MANY challenges.
But then I visited one. & I'm no longer so sure.
So with the world facing future food crises here's a thread on the most interesting thing to happen to farming in a long time...
🧵
Let's start with a chart.
A few weeks ago I did a deep data dive into the state of farming in the UK.
It culminated with a v long-run chart suggesting our ability to grow ever more crops in a given hectare is slowing. Possibly stalling.
This is a really big deal
What if we could send the line in that chart 👇into the stratosphere?
It would have massive consequences. We'd be able to get ever more food from a relatively small section of land. Meaning more land for housing/rewilding or whatever else we'd want to use it for. But how?