This is Sóller. A town in the north of Mallorca with a pretty church, lovely botanical gardens and a quaint tram that trundles down to the sea. But the thing it’s prob best known for is... 1/
Oranges. The orange groves, or “huertas” around Sóller (see pic) produce oranges of a particular sweetness and succulence. Louis XIV used to demand only to be served oranges from Sóller. Take it from me, they’re really juicy and lovely. 2/
But orange trees are relatively thirsty and rainfall in Mallorca is not esp frequent, so there wouldn’t be Sóller oranges without a complex system of irrigation canals originally constructed by the Moors hundreds of yrs ago. You see them all around the valley 3/
If you’re a farmer you’ll be entitled to a certain no of hours of water each week, after which it’s yr responsibility to switch a gate, diverting water onto yr neighbour downhill (pics show one of the junctions & one of those gates, which in practice is just a rock in a hole) 4/
The striking thing abt this system is it’s managed and enforced not by the Ajuntament (town hall) or a company but by the farmers themselves. If you forget to move your rock you’ll soon get a visit from an irate neighbour. The COMMUNITY manages this common resource (water) 5/
And this is not really what conventional economics implies. The whole point of the “tragedy of the commons” is that it’s a tragedy: people are doomed to deplete common resources because someone will always take advantage. But Sóller’s orange groves show that’s not quite right 6/
Indeed it turns out there are hundreds of examples of small communities coming together to manage common resources. Elinor Ostrom won a Nobel memorial prize for her work cataloguing them. Her Nobel speech is a must read on this topic [pdf]: nobelprize.org/uploads/2018/0… 7/
One of Ostrom’s examples was the orange growers around Valencia, who operate a very similar system to the one in Sóller. Here’s the map from the relevant chapter of her seminal work Governing the Commons 8/
Ostrom found that actually these community managed systems tended to be MORE efficient than those managed top down by governments or companies. This is the exact opposite of what conventional economics and the tragedy of the commons suggest. And it’s an important reminder... 9/
We often assume that if there’s the risk of a market failure the obvious solution is either top down regulation or slicing something up into parcels of privately owned land/resource. Ostrom’s work suggests there is a better bottom-up alternative 10/
Of course there are many provisos. Small community schemes to manage common resources prob won’t solve climate change or overfishing since these issues are too vast. Still it’s striking how often ppl trot out the “tragedy of the commons” w/o remembering it’s not that simple 11/
Before anyone pipes up, yes that includes me; I made a whole documentary about problems facing the oceans which talked extensively about the tragedy of the commons 12/
The PM keeps repeating the figure £16bn in relation to the OBR's latest forecasts - giving the impression that this would have left a big hole in the public finances. What he fails to acknowledge is that that this is LITERALLY ONLY ONE PART OF THE STORY.
Here's why...
Yes: the OBR downgraded the fiscal numbers by £16bn (actually £15.6bn) due to weaker productivity (red bar below).
But it also simultaneously UPGRADED them by a whopping £32bn (blue bars).
This chart from @TheIFS shows it pretty clearly👇
Banging on about the £16bn productivity - as the PM did repeatedly in his press conference today - without also mentioning the £14bn inflation UPGRADE and the £17bn of other UPGRADES seems... pretty misleading to me.
It's simply NOT the full picture...
NEW
UK abolishes its "de minimis" rules which exclude cheap imports below £135 from paying tariffs.
A massive deal for the fast fashion/cheap Chinese imports sector: this is the so-called loophole used to great effect by SHEIN and Temu.
Should also bring in some tariff revenue
For more background on this, here's our investigation from earlier this year on de minimis and what it means in practice - including a glimpse inside the planes carrying these imports into the UK 👇
The flip side to this policy is:
a) stuff (yes, a lot of it is tat but even so) will get more expensive
b) it primarily hits lower income households
c) as you'll see from my thread, de minimis was a lifesaver for small regional airports. Its demise is v bad news for them...
NEW
"Data center alley" in North Virginia.
Home to the biggest cluster of server centres in the world.
Here, more than anywhere else, is the global epicentre of AI.
It's where the recent AWS outage happened.
And we've secured rare access INSIDE one of the data centres...
The inside of one of the centres, run by Digital Realty, one of the biggest datacenter companies in the world.
Extremely high security. Long, long corridors, flanked by rooms in which those servers are operating.
This is the very heart of the biggest economic story right now
And inside one of those rooms, here is one of the supercomputers powering the AI boom. This Nvidia DGX H100 is the physical infrastructure making AI a reality.
🚨EXCLUSIVE
The firm at the heart of Britain's critical minerals strategy has ditched plans for a rare earths refinery in the UK, and will build it in the US instead.
It's a serious blow to the Chancellor and her plans for "securonomics" ahead of next month's Budget👇
Not long ago Pensana was being hailed as key to Britain's industrial future.
It had plans to ship rare earth ores to the UK and refine them in a plant just outside Hull, creating 126 jobs and bringing in hundreds of millions of pounds of investment...
Its Saltend site was where the then Biz sec Kwasi Kwarteng launched the govt's official critical minerals strategy a few years ago, saying: "This incredible facility will be the only of its kind in Europe and will help secure the resilience of Britain's supplies into the future"
📽️Is Britain REALLY facing a 1970s-style fiscal crisis?
Why are investors so freaked out about UK debt?
Is this REALLY worse than under Liz Truss?
Who's to blame? Rachel Reeves? The Bank of England?
And would a bit of productivity really solve everything?
📈 Your 6 min primer👇
OK, so let's break it down.
Start with the chart everyone (well, everyone in Whitehall) is talking about.
The 30yr UK government bond yield. Up to the highest level since 1998. And it's still rising.
Does this mean the UK is facing a fiscal crisis? Let's look at the evidence
First let's compare the UK to other G7 countries.
There's two ways to do this.
First, look at absolute levels👇
And it looks pretty awkward for the UK.
Pre-mini Budget we were middle of the pack. That changed post-Truss. And now, under Labour, the UK is even more of an outlier.
👗Billions of pounds of imports...
↗️Rising by more than 50% a year...
🛬Planes stuffed with cheap clothes...
🇨🇳And a loophole saving Chinese companies from £billions of UK taxes.
Behind the scenes of one of the biggest stories in the modern economy: e-commerce
👇
We've spent months investigating this phenomenon.
- We've got the first official estimate of the scale of cheap untaxed imports into the UK.
- We've seen inside the planes carrying these goods here.
- A whole logistics industry is growing around it.
This is a v big deal!
The story begins with a MASSIVE rise in orders from Chinese e-commerce giants like SHEIN and Temu.
Now, most coverage of these brands focuses on labour standards. An important issue.
But there's something else going on here - something deeper.
A shift in how trade works...