Sarah Longwell Profile picture
Aug 25, 2019 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Today Joe Walsh announced he’s going to primary President Trump for the GOP nomination. Walsh wasn’t on my radar in 2010, but if he had been I would have hated him. He was a canary in the coal mine for where the Republican Party was headed, which culminated in Trump’s election
in 2016 and the full capitulation of the GOP that followed. I’ve worried for a long time that there might be no way back for the Republican Party or the conservative movement. Trump has laid bare a rot in the party that many didn’t see. I didn’t see. But it gives me some measure
of hope to see @WalshFreedom stand up to challenge Trump. Because while I don’t think the things he’s said in the past can just be wiped away by an apology (by a long shot), he represents what a path forward is going to have to look like for many conservatives.
There must be a moment when the spell breaks. The rationalizations stop. And there is a clear-eyed reckoning with who we’ve become and what has been tolerated. Joe Walsh has had such a reckoning. He’s apologized. Accepted responsibility for his words, his role electing Trump.
He has repudiated his past words and actions. And now he’s trying to do what he can to fight back. It might not be enough to undo the damage or forgive completely. But if he continues to demonstrate that his apologies are sincere, it seems like he is worthy of consideration.
Because what Joe Walsh is doing is what we hope every Trump supporter will do, right? Say that their support or even silent toleration of Trump’s racism, incompetence, and bullying was wrong and make an affirmative decision to refuse to allow it to go any further.
I appreciate those who are willing to challenge this President, imperfect though they may be, because the fact is, very few have been willing to do so. Even those who know it’s necessary and the right thing to do.
Both @GovBillWeld and @WalshFreedom face overwhelming odds. But they deserve respect for being willing to stand up and take on President Trump directly. Joe Walsh will have to earn true forgiveness for his past words.
But I for one am willing to give him a chance to do that and not discount him out of hand. And running against Trump in the Republican primary is a pretty good way to demonstrate his conviction. JoeWalsh.org.

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More from @SarahLongwell25

Sep 11
Currently conducting a focus group of swing voters from swing states. Across the board they think Harris won the debate.
No one is buying the complaints about the moderators.
7 feel worse about Trump, 2 feel no change after the debate
8 feel better about Harris, 1 feels no change after the debate
Read 4 tweets
Aug 24
I don’t think saying “Trump is uniquely unfit and dangerous and therefore I will use my unique position of influence to argue that’s what’s gone wrong with the conservative movement is that some conservatives are actively supporting Harris to stop Trump” is the stand you think it is.
Look, my initial response was prompted by your claim that some conservatives support for Harris was a driver of the sad state of the conservative movement. Which is silly. Trump and Republicans and GOP voters are responsible for that and it’s why some conservatives find themselves supporting Democrats.
But my real objection is actually to what you said above. I know you and Jonah see Trump for the threat he is. Which is why I find it baffling that you want to beef with people who are actively doing something to oppose that threat.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 20
I’ve conducted 14 focus groups since the debate. Some top lines from the swing voter groups:

1. Almost ALL want Biden to step aside. They don’t think he can do the job for four more years.
2. They have a negative impression of Kamala Harris, but it’s an impression, not locked in. Mainly don’t know what she does.

3. The preferences for an alternative are all over the map. But Whitmer/Shapiro/Newsom are the top picks. Basically they just want someone younger.
3a. (We’re talking to a lot of swing state voters, so there are a disproportionate number of PA/MI voters in the groups, so less surprising to hear Whitmer and Shapiro from those folks)
Read 9 tweets
Mar 27, 2023
I’m not disagreeing, exactly, but I actually think the biggest risk for DeSantis is that people only want to move on from Trump if there’s someone they really like to move on to—and GOP voters might decide they don’t actually like DeSantis once they see more of him.
Voters’ relationship with Trump is deep. Good, bad, ugly, they know who the guy is. The relationship with DeSantis is shallow. National voters haven’t seen that much of him directly. And with Trump relentlessly on the attack, his favorables will be tested for the first time.
According to the Axios piece “In New Hampshire, DeSantis' favorability rating was 77%-15%, while Trump's was 69%-29%.” 69 percent favorable after trying to overturn an election! DeSantis has room to drop as people get to know him. Trump is baked.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8, 2022
Here's the thing: There's a real appetite among GOP voters for a Ron DeSantis run. I see it all the time in focus groups. He's far-and-away the name that comes up most often as the person who should run if Trump doesn't. Or, often, who they'd like to see run instead of Trump. BUT
Most of these voters are familiar with Ron DeSantis because they've seen clips of him yelling at the media. Or yelling at teenagers to take off their masks. Or yelling at Disney. Fighting and keeping FL open during COVID are what they know and like about him. But how does that
stack up when he's one-on-one against Trump? When Trump says vicious, belittling, untrue, things about DeSantis, like he did to his opponents in 2016. Ron's the big barking dog in his home state, but how does he fare on the national stage with Trump mocking him in
Read 10 tweets
Jul 19, 2022
A bunch of prominent conservatives went through the election fraud allegations state-by-state and thoroughly debunked Trump’s claims. It’s all here in a 72 page report. bit.ly/3aBlnGb
“The performance of the system in 2020 was all the more remarkable because of the extraordinary circumstances caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, which precipitated changes on an unprecedented scope and timeline. Some of those changes may have created possibilities for fraud…
“but there is no evidence that those risks materialized in reality; nor did they result in dampening voter participation—quite the opposite.”
Read 4 tweets

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